3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/6/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mikal Bridges Over 15.5 Points (-106)
The Miami Heat are a really nice matchup for Mikal Bridges.
Miami has been smashed by small forwards this season. For the year, they are giving up 27.7 points per game to the position -- that's a league-high mark by 3.4 points. Miami also surrenders the league's second-highest three-point attempt rate overall (43.0%), which could lead to a few more three-point tries for Bridges.
The Phoenix Suns are still without Devin Booker, which is another reason to back the over on Bridges' points prop. With Booker off the floor this season, Bridges' usage rate jumps 2.1 percentage points, according to CourtIQ.
Our model has Bridges netting 16.1 points on Friday night.
Ayo Dosunmu Under 10.5 Points (-122)
The Philadelphia 76ers has been a brutal matchup for point guards all season.
We cashed the under on Tyrese Haliburton's points prop in a clash with Philly on Wednesday, a game in which Haliburton scored only 16 points despite playing 39 minutes in an overtime affair. We can do the same with Ayo Dosunmu's points prop tonight.
The point guard position is totaling only 20.4 points per night versus the Sixers, a league-low number.
While Dosunmu has scored at least 11 points in four straight, he's been taking an unusually high amount of shots of late, averaging 10.8 field goal attempts per night in that span. For the year, he's shooting just 7.9 times per game.
We project Dosunmu to shoot just 7.4 times tonight and have him scoring only 9.5 points. The under is the side to be on.
Jaden Ivey Over 3.5 Assists (-128)
Jaden Ivey's assist props have been kind to us. We've hit the over on his assists prop each of the last two times we've targeted it. This is a great spot for us to do it once more.
Ivey is taking on the San Antonio Spurs. The tanking Spurs are dead last in defensive rating and are playing at the 10th-fastest pace. In general, they're a friendly matchup for overs, and this game has a 236.0-point total and 1.5-point spread, which only helps matters.
Ivey has at least four dimes in six of his previous seven games. Our algorithm has him recording 4.6 assists in this one.
