NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/4/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Trey Murphy Over 2.5 Made Threes (+120)

Trey Murphy is in a great spot to go over this prop.

The matchup is a big reason why. Murphy is taking on the Houston Rockets. No team in the NBA allows a higher three-point attempt rate than the Rockets do, with Houston permitting a 44.8% clip. Houston is giving up the seventh-most three-point tries per night to small forwards (8.4).

Murphy also gets a slight boost without Zion Williamson. With Williamson off the floor this year, Murphy is hitting 3.09 triples per 36 minutes, according to RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. We project him to play 32.9 minutes on Wednesday.

Our model has Murphy making 3.11 threes on 7.7 attempts. Given the +120 price on the over, this bet is a great bet to zero in on.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 19.5 Points (-120)

Tyrese Haliburton has taken a step forward this year, averaging career-best marks in both points (20.4) and assists (10.1). His play is a big reason why an Indiana Pacers team that was expected to be among the league's worst is sitting at 21-17.

But Haliburton has a really difficult matchup tonight versus the Philadelphia 76ers.

Philly is holding the point guard position to just 20.4 points per game, a league-low number. The Sixers (27th in pace) are also a huge pace-down matchup for the Pacers (6th).

We project Haliburton to net 18.8 points.

Jaden Ivey Over 3.5 Assists (+112)

This is another plus-money prop our algorithm likes.

Jaden Ivey and the Detroit Pistons are on the road versus the Golden State Warriors. The Dubs (1st in pace) present a pace-up spot for the Pistons (16th), and the Warriors are permitting 5.2 dimes per night to two-guards, which is tied for the ninth-most.

Ivey's scoring has tapered off lately, but his assist numbers have been solid. He's dished out at least four helpers in five of the last six games, and he's averaging 4.0 assists per game for the campaign.

While there's some blowout risk given that Golden State has been playing well recently, the Pistons are just 6.5-point 'dogs.

Our model has Ivey finishing with 4.5 assists today. That makes the over a smashing bet, especially at the +112 price.