5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Friday 1/6/23
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays.
If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing one of these lower-salaried options into your lineup.
Daniel Gafford, C, Washington Wizards
FanDuel Salary: $5,400
He has played 24.7, 26.1, 27.8, and 29.1 minutes over his past four for an average of 26.9 in that span. Entering this split, he averaged just 15.2 minutes per game.
Tonight, he's projected to play 29.0 minutes against the Oklahoma City Thunder and put up 31.4 FanDuel points.
Across his eight starts this season, Gafford has averaged a stat line of 11.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.3 assists, and 1.9 combined steals and blocks for a per-minute output of 1.05 FanDuel points and a per-game output of 25.7 fantasy points.
Killian Hayes, PG, Detroit Pistons
FanDuel Salary: $6,000
That does, though, give Killian Hayes a matchup against the league's 30th-ranked team by defensive rating.
In starts against teams outside the top 10 in defense, Hayes is putting up a nice 0.94 FanDuel points per minute and 26.8 per game.
Although Hayes projects to be a popular play, he's a pretty safe performer with an ability to play a lot of minutes (31.4 or more in four of his past five games).
Andrew Nembhard, SG/PG, Indiana Pacers
FanDuel Salary: $4,300
The model here at numberFire once again loves Andrew Nembhard at just a $4,300 salary. Nembhard is playing the Portland Trail Blazers in a game with a lofty total of 235.5 points and a tight spread. It's also a pace-up game for the Indiana Pacers (24th) against Portland (4th).
Nembhard has not really produced as much as we'd like and now has four straight games with fewer than 20 FanDuel points despite at least 27.0 minutes in three of the four. He just doesn't generate a lot of shots in most situations.
All this being said, he's been really matchup dependent.
Against teams in the top 20 in defensive rating, Nembhard has averaged only 0.66 FanDuel points per minute in starts. That jumps up to 0.81 against teams in the bottom 10, which Portland is.
Trey Murphy III, SF, New Orleans Pelicans
Naji Marshall, SF, New Orleans Pelicans
Murphy III FanDuel Salary: $4,700
Marshall FanDuel Salary: $4,800
Murphy III has minutes tallies of 27.0, 20.1, 23.9, 31.0, and 28.6 in his past five games. In his 25 starts, Murphy III has averaged a robust 29.9 minutes and 24.3 FanDuel points.
As for Marshall, he has just 10 starts under his belt but has averaged 33.3 minutes and 27.0 FanDuel points in them. Marshall has a top-five value projection tonight (5.71 FanDuel points per $1,000).
Murphy III is still top 10 (5.66).