MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Toronto Blue Jays 75-57 92-70 99.7% 20.5% 81.0% 1.18
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 74-57 92-70 95.6% 21.4% 94.8% 1.02
#3 Houston Astros 73-60 89-73 96.2% 12.1% 89.5% 0.85
#4 Cleveland Indians 64-67 81-81 11.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.59
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 86-46 103-59 100.0% 9.0% 92.8% 0.54
#6 New York Mets 73-59 90-72 95.6% 10.1% 95.5% 0.54
#7 San Francisco Giants 69-63 86-76 11.5% 0.6% 5.2% 0.53
#8 New York Yankees 73-58 89-73 95.5% 3.8% 18.7% 0.46
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 66-66 81-81 16.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.45
#10 Chicago Cubs 75-56 91-71 92.3% 3.3% 0.3% 0.39
#11 Kansas City Royals 80-51 97-65 100.0% 12.1% 100.0% 0.37
#12 Oakland Athletics 58-75 73-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.35
#13 Pittsburgh Pirates 79-51 96-66 99.8% 4.5% 6.9% 0.33
#14 Washington Nationals 66-65 83-79 5.0% 0.4% 4.5% 0.21
#15 Baltimore Orioles 63-69 77-85 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% -0.08
#16 Los Angeles Angels 66-66 81-81 13.4% 0.3% 1.3% -0.09
#17 San Diego Padres 64-68 79-83 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.10
#18 Detroit Tigers 61-70 75-87 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.13
#19 Seattle Mariners 62-71 76-86 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.18
#20 Cincinnati Reds 54-77 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.19
#21 Arizona Diamondbacks 65-68 78-84 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.22
#22 Boston Red Sox 61-71 75-87 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.34
#23 Texas Rangers 69-62 84-78 43.2% 0.9% 9.2% -0.52
#24 Miami Marlins 54-79 68-94 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.52
#25 Milwaukee Brewers 56-75 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.67
#26 Chicago White Sox 61-69 75-87 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.70
#27 Minnesota Twins 68-63 82-80 22.3% 0.2% 0.0% -0.76
#28 Atlanta Braves 54-78 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.25
#29 Philadelphia Phillies 53-80 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.34
#30 Colorado Rockies 53-78 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.40