MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 62-41 95-67 98.6% 22.2% 89.7% 1.81
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 58-46 91-71 88.8% 12.6% 60.7% 1.20
#3 Boston Red Sox 56-46 88-74 69.6% 7.9% 28.4% 1.19
#4 Washington Nationals 61-43 94-68 96.3% 11.8% 89.7% 1.08
#5 Cleveland Indians 59-42 91-71 92.8% 13.0% 85.0% 1.06
#6 Toronto Blue Jays 59-45 89-73 79.6% 9.4% 44.2% 0.99
#7 St. Louis Cardinals 56-48 88-74 63.6% 4.2% 9.8% 0.97
#8 San Francisco Giants 60-44 90-72 78.1% 5.2% 38.8% 0.63
#9 Seattle Mariners 52-50 83-79 21.8% 1.4% 10.9% 0.54
#10 Miami Marlins 56-48 85-77 31.7% 0.7% 5.1% 0.39
#11 New York Mets 53-50 85-77 30.6% 1.1% 5.2% 0.31
#12 Houston Astros 55-48 85-77 43.1% 2.8% 25.5% 0.25
#13 Detroit Tigers 56-48 85-77 40.7% 1.8% 14.1% 0.17
#14 Baltimore Orioles 58-45 88-74 64.6% 2.9% 25.4% 0.15
#15 New York Yankees 52-51 81-81 8.8% 0.4% 1.9% -0.13
#16 Tampa Bay Rays 41-61 70-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.16
#17 Pittsburgh Pirates 52-50 82-80 10.2% 0.0% 0.5% -0.19
#18 San Diego Padres 45-59 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.30
#19 Texas Rangers 61-44 89-73 75.7% 2.4% 63.3% -0.33
#20 Los Angeles Angels 47-57 74-88 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% -0.36
#21 Chicago White Sox 51-53 78-84 1.0% 0.0% 0.3% -0.49
#22 Colorado Rockies 52-52 79-83 2.2% 0.0% 0.5% -0.50
#23 Kansas City Royals 49-54 78-84 1.8% 0.0% 0.6% -0.52
#24 Milwaukee Brewers 46-56 73-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.57
#25 Oakland Athletics 47-57 74-88 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% -0.63
#26 Arizona Diamondbacks 43-61 70-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.67
#27 Minnesota Twins 39-64 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.85
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 48-58 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.00
#29 Atlanta Braves 36-68 62-100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.01
#30 Cincinnati Reds 41-62 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.36