MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Houston Astros 18-8 85-77 54.4% 3.3% 40.2% 1.93
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 16-9 98-64 99.0% 27.2% 92.7% 1.93
#3 Kansas City Royals 16-9 86-76 58.6% 4.8% 33.2% 1.86
#4 Baltimore Orioles 12-11 84-78 44.0% 4.3% 23.6% 1.31
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 19-6 95-67 94.6% 13.5% 82.5% 1.17
#6 Detroit Tigers 17-9 89-73 78.2% 9.7% 59.6% 1.09
#7 Tampa Bay Rays 14-12 86-76 56.9% 6.0% 34.8% 1.03
#8 Oakland Athletics 11-16 82-80 36.1% 4.0% 21.8% 0.98
#9 New York Yankees 16-10 83-79 38.1% 1.8% 18.5% 0.96
#10 Chicago Cubs 13-11 83-79 34.9% 1.6% 6.5% 0.82
#11 New York Mets 16-10 83-79 41.5% 1.3% 27.7% 0.34
#12 Cincinnati Reds 12-13 78-84 11.0% 0.4% 1.4% 0.30
#13 Miami Marlins 12-14 78-84 14.4% 0.6% 8.6% 0.23
#14 San Francisco Giants 13-13 85-77 50.0% 2.5% 5.6% 0.05
#15 San Diego Padres 14-13 81-81 24.9% 0.5% 1.6% -0.03
#16 Toronto Blue Jays 13-14 81-81 22.4% 1.6% 9.7% -0.30
#17 Seattle Mariners 11-15 82-80 30.6% 2.5% 18.4% -0.50
#18 Boston Red Sox 12-14 82-80 27.7% 1.9% 13.4% -0.51
#19 Atlanta Braves 12-14 77-85 11.7% 0.2% 6.3% -0.59
#20 Pittsburgh Pirates 12-13 84-78 46.4% 2.6% 9.6% -0.61
#21 Los Angeles Angels 11-15 82-80 31.7% 2.3% 19.2% -0.76
#22 Washington Nationals 13-14 86-76 67.6% 6.2% 57.4% -0.78
#23 Arizona Diamondbacks 10-14 69-93 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.84
#24 Cleveland Indians 9-15 79-83 13.4% 1.0% 4.4% -0.88
#25 Minnesota Twins 14-12 75-87 5.3% 0.2% 1.9% -0.89
#26 Colorado Rockies 11-13 72-90 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% -1.13
#27 Texas Rangers 9-16 69-93 0.6% 0.0% 0.4% -1.72
#28 Milwaukee Brewers 8-18 72-90 1.8% 0.0% 0.1% -1.82
#29 Chicago White Sox 8-14 72-90 2.0% 0.0% 1.0% -1.83
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 10-17 67-95 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -2.23