MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 58-45 92-70 92.4% 22.0% 75.0% 1.07
#2 Toronto Blue Jays 53-51 85-77 60.4% 7.5% 22.2% 0.84
#3 Houston Astros 58-46 89-73 90.5% 11.5% 70.0% 0.84
#4 New York Yankees 58-44 89-73 89.4% 7.6% 67.0% 0.66
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 66-37 98-64 99.6% 11.6% 87.4% 0.61
#6 San Francisco Giants 56-46 88-74 67.5% 5.6% 23.9% 0.60
#7 Oakland Athletics 45-59 74-88 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.45
#8 Los Angeles Angels 55-47 86-76 67.3% 4.4% 27.8% 0.36
#9 Cleveland Indians 48-54 78-84 7.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.29
#10 Kansas City Royals 61-41 93-69 98.8% 12.4% 97.7% 0.26
#11 Tampa Bay Rays 51-53 80-82 17.9% 0.8% 3.1% 0.25
#12 Baltimore Orioles 52-50 82-80 32.9% 1.4% 7.6% 0.15
#13 Chicago Cubs 55-47 85-77 33.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.14
#14 Cincinnati Reds 46-55 73-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.10
#15 Washington Nationals 54-47 86-76 65.2% 5.1% 60.2% 0.09
#16 Pittsburgh Pirates 60-42 91-71 89.6% 4.4% 11.8% 0.07
#17 New York Mets 53-50 85-77 46.6% 3.1% 39.6% 0.07
#18 Detroit Tigers 50-53 77-85 3.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.00
#19 Seattle Mariners 47-57 76-86 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% -0.17
#20 Arizona Diamondbacks 50-51 79-83 1.9% 0.0% 0.5% -0.21
#21 San Diego Padres 50-53 80-82 3.3% 0.2% 0.6% -0.30
#22 Miami Marlins 42-61 71-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.32
#23 Boston Red Sox 46-58 74-88 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% -0.57
#24 Milwaukee Brewers 44-60 71-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.68
#25 Minnesota Twins 53-49 80-82 17.2% 0.1% 1.2% -0.70
#26 Texas Rangers 50-52 78-84 8.5% 0.2% 2.1% -0.71
#27 Chicago White Sox 49-52 77-85 3.5% 0.0% 0.3% -0.86
#28 Atlanta Braves 46-57 72-90 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% -1.04
#29 Colorado Rockies 43-58 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.17
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 40-64 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.53