MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 26-16 98-64 98.8% 25.2% 86.6% 1.86
#2 Kansas City Royals 28-14 90-72 82.0% 6.8% 49.2% 1.41
#3 Detroit Tigers 26-18 89-73 79.7% 8.4% 43.2% 0.98
#4 Tampa Bay Rays 24-20 87-75 68.7% 8.4% 54.6% 0.97
#5 Houston Astros 28-16 85-77 55.0% 3.5% 40.5% 0.60
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 27-16 92-70 91.5% 9.8% 77.8% 0.55
#7 Oakland Athletics 15-30 77-85 8.2% 0.7% 4.6% 0.54
#8 San Francisco Giants 25-19 89-73 76.3% 5.6% 13.0% 0.50
#9 Baltimore Orioles 19-21 82-80 32.3% 2.3% 17.6% 0.41
#10 Chicago Cubs 24-18 84-78 43.8% 2.2% 13.1% 0.31
#11 Toronto Blue Jays 19-26 79-83 13.5% 0.8% 6.8% 0.19
#12 New York Yankees 22-21 81-81 23.7% 1.5% 12.5% 0.19
#13 New York Mets 24-20 83-79 37.0% 1.4% 15.5% 0.18
#14 Washington Nationals 25-18 90-72 87.6% 11.1% 79.0% 0.14
#15 Cleveland Indians 19-23 80-82 20.6% 1.6% 5.1% 0.04
#16 Seattle Mariners 20-22 82-80 34.9% 3.0% 22.6% -0.07
#17 Los Angeles Angels 22-21 84-78 47.0% 4.7% 30.7% -0.17
#18 Cincinnati Reds 18-24 75-87 4.0% 0.0% 0.9% -0.26
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 20-22 73-89 1.9% 0.0% 0.1% -0.29
#20 Pittsburgh Pirates 20-22 82-80 32.8% 1.4% 8.2% -0.34
#21 Texas Rangers 20-23 74-88 3.8% 0.0% 1.6% -0.51
#22 Atlanta Braves 21-21 79-83 14.5% 0.5% 4.8% -0.53
#23 San Diego Padres 20-24 78-84 8.3% 0.3% 0.4% -0.62
#24 Miami Marlins 17-27 73-89 1.7% 0.0% 0.6% -0.67
#25 Boston Red Sox 20-23 79-83 17.9% 0.6% 8.5% -0.77
#26 Minnesota Twins 24-18 78-84 9.3% 0.3% 2.1% -0.99
#27 Chicago White Sox 19-21 74-88 3.4% 0.0% 0.4% -1.04
#28 Milwaukee Brewers 16-28 72-90 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.22
#29 Philadelphia Phillies 19-26 69-93 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% -1.30
#30 Colorado Rockies 16-25 68-94 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.39