MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 31-14 93-69 93.4% 21.5% 80.6% 2.45
#2 Boston Red Sox 29-17 89-73 81.7% 14.0% 61.3% 2.03
#3 Seattle Mariners 28-18 88-74 77.7% 10.7% 66.3% 1.41
#4 St. Louis Cardinals 24-23 84-78 37.2% 2.2% 8.6% 1.18
#5 Los Angeles Dodgers 25-23 86-76 54.8% 7.5% 34.6% 1.10
#6 Washington Nationals 28-19 89-73 74.2% 7.7% 47.8% 0.94
#7 New York Mets 27-19 87-75 65.5% 6.1% 38.1% 0.71
#8 Baltimore Orioles 26-18 83-79 42.3% 2.6% 16.6% 0.70
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 21-23 80-82 21.5% 1.4% 6.3% 0.64
#10 Cleveland Indians 25-20 85-77 55.9% 5.0% 39.3% 0.63
#11 Pittsburgh Pirates 26-19 84-78 39.1% 1.8% 10.5% 0.47
#12 Toronto Blue Jays 23-25 81-81 29.5% 2.3% 8.8% 0.40
#13 Chicago White Sox 27-21 84-78 45.9% 2.7% 29.0% 0.37
#14 San Francisco Giants 30-19 88-74 71.8% 5.0% 55.9% 0.34
#15 Miami Marlins 24-22 82-80 27.8% 0.8% 9.9% -0.03
#16 Detroit Tigers 23-23 81-81 27.2% 1.9% 15.5% -0.13
#17 New York Yankees 22-23 81-81 21.9% 1.1% 7.0% -0.13
#18 Arizona Diamondbacks 21-27 78-84 9.7% 0.4% 4.4% -0.24
#19 Kansas City Royals 24-22 81-81 30.0% 1.6% 16.2% -0.26
#20 Texas Rangers 27-20 83-79 39.4% 1.8% 21.9% -0.53
#21 Houston Astros 19-28 77-85 8.3% 0.4% 3.5% -0.55
#22 Los Angeles Angels 21-26 78-84 12.7% 0.8% 5.8% -0.60
#23 Philadelphia Phillies 26-21 79-83 13.9% 0.2% 4.2% -0.71
#24 Colorado Rockies 21-24 78-84 9.3% 0.2% 4.4% -0.73
#25 San Diego Padres 19-29 73-89 1.2% 0.0% 0.7% -1.12
#26 Milwaukee Brewers 20-26 74-88 1.8% 0.0% 0.3% -1.20
#27 Oakland Athletics 20-28 76-86 5.9% 0.2% 2.6% -1.20
#28 Atlanta Braves 12-33 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.59
#29 Minnesota Twins 12-34 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.70
#30 Cincinnati Reds 15-32 68-94 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -2.20