MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 45-35 90-72 90.7% 20.5% 74.9% 1.17
#2 Toronto Blue Jays 42-38 85-77 56.2% 6.6% 29.1% 0.96
#3 Houston Astros 47-34 88-74 80.7% 8.9% 66.1% 0.93
#4 Oakland Athletics 36-45 78-84 8.1% 1.2% 3.0% 0.85
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 51-26 96-66 99.1% 13.5% 85.2% 0.73
#6 San Francisco Giants 42-37 85-77 58.1% 4.8% 22.5% 0.53
#7 Kansas City Royals 44-31 87-75 75.9% 7.2% 67.5% 0.48
#8 Baltimore Orioles 42-36 85-77 53.0% 5.1% 26.6% 0.45
#9 New York Yankees 42-37 84-78 47.7% 2.8% 22.4% 0.42
#10 Chicago Cubs 41-35 84-78 44.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.31
#11 Tampa Bay Rays 42-38 84-78 44.2% 2.8% 20.5% 0.29
#12 Pittsburgh Pirates 44-33 88-74 76.6% 5.5% 12.4% 0.23
#13 Cincinnati Reds 36-41 77-85 5.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.21
#14 Cleveland Indians 36-41 79-83 13.8% 1.4% 7.4% 0.21
#15 Detroit Tigers 39-38 81-81 26.1% 2.3% 14.4% 0.19
#16 Washington Nationals 43-35 87-75 81.6% 8.8% 77.3% 0.18
#17 Los Angeles Angels 41-38 83-79 40.9% 3.2% 19.4% 0.06
#18 New York Mets 40-39 81-81 23.7% 1.0% 16.0% -0.10
#19 Seattle Mariners 36-42 78-84 10.2% 0.5% 3.6% -0.24
#20 Texas Rangers 40-39 80-82 17.8% 0.5% 8.0% -0.35
#21 Boston Red Sox 36-44 77-85 5.2% 0.4% 1.4% -0.46
#22 Arizona Diamondbacks 37-41 76-86 3.8% 0.0% 0.8% -0.55
#23 Miami Marlins 33-46 74-88 1.4% 0.1% 0.9% -0.55
#24 San Diego Padres 37-43 78-84 5.6% 0.0% 1.6% -0.62
#25 Atlanta Braves 37-41 78-84 9.4% 0.2% 5.8% -0.75
#26 Minnesota Twins 41-37 80-82 18.9% 0.5% 9.8% -0.92
#27 Milwaukee Brewers 32-48 71-91 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.04
#28 Colorado Rockies 34-44 72-90 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% -1.20
#29 Chicago White Sox 34-42 73-89 1.4% 0.0% 0.8% -1.43
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 27-53 63-99 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.81