3 NFL Prop Bets to Target in Week 3
After a strong Week 2, Fanduel released another set of juicy prop bets to take advantage of for Week 3. At Fanduel's sportsbook you can place wagers on a variety of contests including prop bets.
Here are three prop bets that standout ahead of the Week 3 actions
Please note that lines and our projections may change after this article is published.
Alvin Kamara 75+ Receiving Yards/New Orleans to Win +360
A bet of $100 on Alvin Kamara to eclipse 75 receiving yards with a New Orleans Saints victory will net a nice return of $360. With Atlanta Falcons favored by three points in this spot, banking on a close game with this Saints team edging out a victory could lead to a massive payoff.
After allowing the most or second-most receptions and receiving yards to running backs in each year from 2015 to 2017, the Falcons started 2018 on the wrong foot by losing stud defenders Keanu Neal and Deion Jones. Schematically friendly to opposing pass-catching running backs, the Panthers allowed Christian McCaffrey to compile 14 catches for 102 yards in Week 2.
Kamara is more than capable of taking advantage of this defensive weakness. So far, the second-year pro has 165 receiving yards on 18 targets this season. Without Mark Ingram, the Saints should lean on Kamara heavily in the passing game, making him a solid bet to reach 75 yards receiving.
The second part of this bet requires a New Orleans victory outright, despite being three-point underdogs. Our projections indicate that this result is very possible. While we aren't quite predicting the Saints to win, our models predict the Falcons to narrowly win by a score of 22.93 to 21.99. In a game expected to be this close, the Saints could very well squeak out a victory. Take this prop bet to the bank until it increases.
Latavius Murray Over 17.5 Rushing Attempts -112
With bookmakers still adjusting to the true lack of talent on the Buffalo Bills, prop bets on the other side need to be hammered. With Dalvin Cook out with a hamstring injury, Latavius Murray appears poised to handle a full workload against the Buffalo.
Buffalo has been absolutely slaughtered on defense, particularly by running backs, to start the year. Allowing a league high 78 points, the Bills have given up 6 touchdowns to running backs. Murray has shown the capability to handle a full workload in the past. Despite sharing time with Jerick McKinnon in 2017, Murray surpassed 17 carries on six separate occasions.
Our projections currently peg Murray with 16.5 carries, but that number could easily be as high as 20 given the game script the Minnesota Vikings are expected to deal with. As 16.5-point favorites, Minnesota should be running early and often. Also, with unknown running backs like Mike Boone and Roc Thomas behind him, Murray could easily surpass 17.5 carries in this one.
While a bet of $100 nets only $89.29, the strong indicators in this contest cannot be ignored.
Patrick Mahomes Over 283.5 Passing Yards -102
Despite 582 yards passing and 10 touchdowns, Patrick Mahomes remains underappreciated by bookmakers. Here, a bet of $100 on Mahomes throwing for more than 283.5 passing yards against the San Francisco 49ers returns $98.04.
To start the year the 49ers have allowed the eighth-most passing yards to quarterbacks and could be without stud safety Jaquiski Tartt. According to our schedule-adjusted metrics, the Niners have the seventh-worst pass defense, which Mahomes should light up in his first ever home start. A back-and-forth, high-scoring contest is very possible in this one. The game boasts a slate-leading 55-point over/under, and the Kansas City Chiefs rank dead-last in overall defense.
Right now, our models have Mahomes slotted in for 288.55 passing yards. Take Mahomes at a deflated cost while it is still possible in player prop bets.