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Week 1 Fantasy Football QB Projections

Updated daily
 
Player
Drew Brees D. Brees (QB, NO)
Tom Brady T. Brady (QB, NE)
Aaron Rodgers A. Rodgers (QB, GB)
Ben Roethlisberger B. Roethlisberger (QB, PIT)
Matthew Stafford M. Stafford (QB, DET)
Cam Newton C. Newton (QB, CAR)
Kirk Cousins K. Cousins (QB, MIN)
Jared Goff J. Goff (QB, LA)
Russell Wilson R. Wilson (QB, SEA)
Andy Dalton A. Dalton (QB, CIN)
Philip Rivers P. Rivers (QB, LAC)
Deshaun Watson D. Watson (QB, HOU)
Marcus Mariota M. Mariota (QB, TEN)
Andrew Luck A. Luck (QB, IND)
Mitchell Trubisky M. Trubisky (QB, CHI)
Ryan Fitzpatrick R. Fitzpatrick (QB, TB)
Matt Ryan M. Ryan (QB, ATL)
Jimmy Garoppolo J. Garoppolo (QB, SF)
Blake Bortles B. Bortles (QB, JAC)
Alex Smith A. Smith (QB, WSH)
Dak Prescott D. Prescott (QB, DAL)
Ryan Tannehill R. Tannehill (QB, MIA)
Derek Carr D. Carr (QB, OAK)
Tyrod Taylor T. Taylor (QB, CLE)
Sam Bradford S. Bradford (QB, ARI)
Joe Flacco J. Flacco (QB, BAL)
Patrick Mahomes P. Mahomes (QB, KC)
Case Keenum C. Keenum (QB, DEN)
Josh McCown J. McCown (QB, NYJ)
Eli Manning E. Manning (QB, NYG)
Carson Wentz C. Wentz (QB, PHI)
Nick Foles N. Foles (QB, PHI)
A.J. McCarron A. McCarron (QB, BUF)
Josh Allen J. Allen (QB, BUF)
Teddy Bridgewater T. Bridgewater (QB, NYJ)
Baker Mayfield B. Mayfield (QB, CLE)
Lamar Jackson L. Jackson (QB, BAL)
Jacoby Brissett J. Brissett (QB, IND)
Josh Rosen J. Rosen (QB, ARI)
Sam Darnold S. Darnold (QB, NYJ)
Trevor Siemian T. Siemian (QB, MIN)
Connor Cook C. Cook (QB, OAK)
Matt Barkley M. Barkley (QB, CIN)
Brian Hoyer B. Hoyer (QB, NE)
Tom Savage T. Savage (QB, NO)
Brandon Weeden B. Weeden (QB, HOU)
Landry Jones L. Jones (QB, PIT)
Chase Daniel C. Daniel (QB, CHI)
David Fales D. Fales (QB, MIA)
Paxton Lynch P. Lynch (QB, DEN)
Cooper Rush C. Rush (QB, DAL)
Austin Davis A. Davis (QB, SEA)
Colt McCoy C. McCoy (QB, WSH)
C.J. Beathard C. Beathard (QB, SF)
Brett Hundley B. Hundley (QB, GB)
Jake Rudock J. Rudock (QB, DET)
Cody Kessler C. Kessler (QB, JAC)
Chad Henne C. Henne (QB, KC)
Blaine Gabbert B. Gabbert (QB, TEN)
Matt Schaub M. Schaub (QB, ATL)
Geno Smith G. Smith (QB, LAC)
Sean Mannion S. Mannion (QB, LA)
Joe Callahan J. Callahan (QB, PHI)
Tyler Bray T. Bray (QB, CHI)
Nate Sudfeld N. Sudfeld (QB, PHI)
Taylor Heinicke T. Heinicke (QB, CAR)
Taysom Hill T. Hill (QB, NO)
Nathan Peterman N. Peterman (QB, BUF)
DeShone Kizer D. Kizer (QB, GB)
Cardale Jones C. Jones (QB, LAC)
Bryce Petty B. Petty (QB, MIA)
Kevin Hogan K. Hogan (QB, WSH)
Christian Hackenberg C. Hackenberg (QB, OAK)
Jameis Winston J. Winston (QB, TB)
Matthew McGloin M. McGloin (QB, KC)
Mike Glennon M. Glennon (QB, ARI)
E.J. Manuel E. Manuel (QB, OAK)
Alex Tanney A. Tanney (QB, NYG)
Brock Osweiler B. Osweiler (QB, MIA)
Robert Griffin III R. Griffin III (QB, BAL)
Joe Webb J. Webb (QB, HOU)
Drew Stanton D. Stanton (QB, CLE)
Matt Cassel M. Cassel (QB, DET)
Josh Johnson J. Johnson (QB, OAK)
numberFire Opp Ranks Passing Rushing FanDuel DraftKings Yahoo
FP CI Team Rank Ovr. Pos. C/A Yds TDs Ints Att Yds TDs FP Cost Value
24.06 16.53-31.59 TB #31 #1 #1 23.10/34.02 299.68 2.69 0.66 3.03 12.10 0.23 24.72 N/A N/A
23.16 15.55-30.77 HOU #16 #2 #2 26.66/38.65 310.18 2.92 0.50 1.75 1.24 0.04 23.67 N/A N/A
22.36 13.26-31.46 CHI #8 #3 #3 23.83/39.00 288.51 2.24 0.56 3.55 22.12 0.17 22.92 N/A N/A
20.25 12.14-28.36 CLE #28 #4 #4 24.89/36.29 296.16 2.33 0.63 1.29 4.80 0.02 20.88 N/A N/A
19.89 12.62-27.16 NYJ #15 #5 #5 24.66/37.29 296.75 2.23 0.92 2.31 8.70 0.09 20.8 N/A N/A
19.87 12.92-26.82 DAL #24 #6 #6 17.62/30.41 208.78 1.55 0.72 7.78 48.62 0.35 20.6 N/A N/A
19.29 14.03-24.55 SF #27 #7 #7 21.94/34.47 276.98 2.00 0.60 3.12 10.81 0.09 19.86 N/A N/A
19.08 11.61-26.55 OAK #30 #9 #8 20.37/33.02 258.65 2.26 0.57 1.86 3.31 0.10 19.63 N/A N/A
18.96 11.19-26.73 DEN #5 #10 #9 21.30/35.99 264.02 1.46 0.70 6.16 30.63 0.19 19.66 N/A N/A
18.26 11.43-25.09 IND #32 #13 #10 23.56/37.40 264.65 2.01 0.66 2.42 9.82 0.06 18.91 N/A N/A
17.87 10.59-25.15 KC #26 #14 #11 23.08/35.61 278.68 2.05 0.72 1.80 2.09 0.02 18.59 N/A N/A
17.85 11.17-24.53 NE #13 #15 #12 18.88/31.93 230.99 1.74 0.82 4.17 24.77 0.18 18.7 N/A N/A
16.67 9.18-24.16 MIA #25 #17 #13 20.70/33.88 242.82 1.19 0.63 3.70 18.39 0.32 17.3 N/A N/A
16.39 9.66-23.12 CIN #19 #19 #14 21.02/34.02 234.23 1.63 1.06 4.27 16.43 0.24 17.49 N/A N/A
15.84 9.69-21.99 GB #29 #20 #15 19.80/34.39 229.82 1.37 0.46 3.76 18.32 0.12 16.3 N/A N/A
15.63 9.31-21.95 NO #12 #21 #16 22.13/34.88 260.25 1.20 0.84 3.10 11.86 0.23 16.48 N/A N/A
15.23 8.93-21.53 PHI #2 #22 #17 22.16/35.41 255.08 1.48 0.80 2.16 6.22 0.06 16.05 N/A N/A
15.08 7.24-22.92 MIN #1 #23 #18 21.49/34.82 253.95 1.38 0.96 2.75 12.14 0.08 16.05 N/A N/A
15.05 8.76-21.34 NYG #23 #24 #19 20.30/33.63 232.37 1.32 0.96 3.41 15.51 0.19 15.99 N/A N/A
14.97 7.72-22.22 ARI #6 #25 #20 20.88/33.43 236.29 1.48 0.86 3.05 12.13 0.08 15.84 N/A N/A
14.89 5.66-24.12 CAR #7 #26 #21 19.87/32.66 215.75 0.99 0.92 4.12 23.61 0.29 15.81 N/A N/A
14.36 7.68-21.04 TEN #21 #30 #22 21.66/35.78 238.06 1.19 0.94 3.38 11.52 0.18 15.33 N/A N/A
14.26 8.39-20.13 LA #10 #31 #23 21.20/36.21 235.40 1.69 0.97 1.52 2.54 0.02 15.22 N/A N/A
14.21 8.25-20.17 PIT #17 #32 #24 15.88/28.11 167.94 1.12 0.46 4.81 28.64 0.24 14.68 N/A N/A
13.44 7.58-19.3 WSH #14 #34 #25 20.77/32.34 231.79 1.38 0.85 1.18 3.49 0.05 14.31 N/A N/A
12.76 5.75-19.77 BUF #22 #38 #26 21.05/35.87 227.13 1.32 1.14 1.30 4.23 0.09 13.92 N/A N/A
12.72 6.83-18.61 LAC #9 #39 #27 20.34/32.99 200.86 1.24 1.12 4.03 14.84 0.12 13.88 N/A N/A
12.53 6.77-18.29 SEA #11 #41 #28 19.95/33.49 217.82 1.07 0.95 2.76 12.34 0.10 13.46 N/A N/A
12.39 6-18.78 DET #18 #45 #29 17.81/29.44 201.49 0.99 0.75 2.60 11.42 0.17 13.14 N/A N/A
10.90 4.44-17.36 JAC #3 #52 #30 18.62/33.97 202.88 1.36 1.11 0.66 1.07 0.00 11.99 N/A N/A
10.78 3.39-18.17 ATL #20 #53 #31 10.98/17.25 134.52 1.13 0.33 2.31 8.89 0.14 11.14 N/A N/A
9.63 2.97-16.29 ATL #20 #64 #32 10.40/18.10 131.10 1.10 0.42 1.66 2.50 0.10 10.07 N/A N/A
6.33 2.08-10.58 BAL #4 #119 #33 10.53/18.43 119.35 0.51 0.58 2.17 8.31 0.04 6.94 N/A N/A
6.21 2.3-10.12 BAL #4 #121 #34 11.08/18.67 114.90 0.44 0.68 2.44 11.32 0.04 6.88 N/A N/A
2.54 0.42-4.66 DET #18 #229 #35 4.40/7.76 50.80 0.24 0.28 0.52 1.76 0.00 2.82 N/A N/A
2.19 1.03-3.35 PIT #17 #247 #36 2.62/4.36 30.16 0.18 0.10 0.64 2.60 0.04 2.29 N/A N/A
2.14 0.92-3.36 BUF #22 #253 #37 2.38/3.90 27.00 0.14 0.08 0.84 3.44 0.06 2.22 N/A N/A
1.88 0.74-3.02 CIN #19 #274 #38 2.48/4.26 29.66 0.18 0.14 0.64 2.90 0.02 2.02 N/A N/A
1.72 0.52-2.92 WSH #14 #289 #39 2.40/4.00 26.94 0.16 0.08 0.26 0.82 0.02 1.8 N/A N/A
1.54 0.38-2.7 DET #18 #303 #40 2.46/4.06 28.00 0.14 0.10 0.30 1.04 0.00 1.64 N/A N/A
0.97 0.37-1.57 SF #27 #335 #41 1.24/2.14 14.93 0.10 0.06 0.24 0.94 0.01 1.05 N/A N/A
0.88 0.29-1.47 LA #10 #345 #42 1.35/2.21 15.24 0.09 0.07 0.15 0.61 0.01 0.98 N/A N/A
0.86 0.21-1.51 IND #32 #346 #43 1.21/1.87 13.58 0.08 0.05 0.20 0.63 0.00 0.86 N/A N/A
0.78 0.12-1.44 HOU #16 #355 #44 1.07/1.75 12.82 0.08 0.05 0.17 0.50 0.00 0.81 N/A N/A
0.77 0.21-1.33 TB #31 #357 #45 1.23/2.07 13.46 0.07 0.07 0.18 0.77 0.01 0.85 N/A N/A
0.77 0.17-1.37 NE #13 #357 #45 1.21/1.97 13.72 0.07 0.05 0.14 0.49 0.00 0.81 N/A N/A
0.75 0.09-1.41 CLE #28 #359 #47 1.05/1.65 12.05 0.07 0.05 0.21 0.78 0.01 0.82 N/A N/A
0.75 0.16-1.34 GB #29 #359 #47 1.09/1.74 12.70 0.07 0.04 0.12 0.20 0.00 0.75 N/A N/A
0.71 0.14-1.28 TEN #21 #366 #49 1.15/2.01 13.10 0.08 0.08 0.16 0.66 0.00 0.79 N/A N/A
0.70 0.15-1.25 SEA #11 #367 #50 1.27/2.21 13.17 0.08 0.08 0.15 0.59 0.00 0.77 N/A N/A
0.68 0.15-1.21 CAR #7 #371 #51 0.97/1.84 10.90 0.05 0.06 0.22 1.21 0.01 0.74 N/A N/A
0.68 0.14-1.22 DEN #5 #371 #51 1.11/1.87 12.81 0.06 0.06 0.14 0.53 0.00 0.73 N/A N/A
0.68 0.13-1.23 ARI #6 #371 #51 1.13/1.91 12.89 0.06 0.06 0.14 0.53 0.00 0.73 N/A N/A
0.67 0.22-1.12 MIN #1 #375 #54 1.26/2.33 13.48 0.06 0.08 0.19 0.83 0.00 0.74 N/A N/A
0.64 0.02-1.26 CHI #8 #381 #55 0.94/1.73 10.49 0.05 0.05 0.22 1.19 0.01 0.73 N/A N/A
0.60 0.09-1.11 NYJ #15 #392 #56 1.02/1.83 11.24 0.06 0.07 0.14 0.45 0.00 0.64 N/A N/A
0.46 0-0.92 NYG #23 #464 #57 0.89/1.64 9.54 0.04 0.06 0.15 0.44 0.00 0.51 N/A N/A
0.46 -0.01-0.93 LAC #9 #464 #57 0.89/1.59 9.54 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.43 0.01 0.52 N/A N/A
0.40 -0.07-0.87 MIA #25 #495 #59 0.92/1.68 9.37 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.42 0.00 0.49 N/A N/A
0.39 -0.11-0.89 PHI #2 #498 #60 0.64/1.06 7.45 0.04 0.04 0.12 0.20 0.00 0.44 N/A N/A
0.29 -0.11-0.69 KC #26 #528 #61 0.52/1.05 5.97 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.24 0.00 0.34 N/A N/A
0.28 -0.11-0.67 OAK #30 #531 #62 0.45/0.88 4.53 0.02 0.03 0.18 0.78 0.00 0.29 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 ATL #20 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 GB #29 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 ATL #20 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 DAL #24 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 TB #31 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 BAL #4 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 CHI #8 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 KC #26 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 TEN #21 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 ARI #6 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 LA #10 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 NO #12 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 LAC #9 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 WSH #14 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 LA #10 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 JAC #3 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 TEN #21 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 BUF #22 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 NE #13 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 PIT #17 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 NYJ #15 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A
0.00 0-0 LA #10 #546 #63 0.00/0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 N/A N/A

NFL PLAYER NEWS

S. Vereen RB

Saints add Shane Vereen to backfield

The New Orleans Saints signed free agent running back Shane Vereen, formerly of the New York Giants.

What It Means:

Vereen, 29, has more receiving yards (1,865) than rushing yards (1,489) through seven seasons in the league, but he's only found the end zone once over the past two campaigns (21 games). The Saints also signed Terrance West earlier this offseason and drafted Boston West in the sixth round, so Vereen may not be a lock to make the final roster behind Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. Trey Edmunds and Jonathan Williams are also in the mix.

Vereen finished with 417 scoreless yards on 45 carries and 44 receptions (53 targets) for the Giants last season.

Source: Mike Garafolo
R. Seals-Jones TE

Cardinals' Ricky Seals-Jones arrested for assault

Arizona Cardinals tight end Ricky Seals-Jones was arrested and charged with assault, disorderly conduct, and criminal trespassing in Scottsdale, Arizona this past Saturday.

What It Means:

Seals-Jones apparently shoved an employee who denied him access to a guests-only bathroom at the W Hotel in Scottsdale. It sounds relatively minor but the NFL has the authority to discipline players as they seem fit, so there could be a suspension somewhere down the line. Seals-Jones, a second-year undrafted free agent, turned 23 in March and is expected to open the season as the Cardinals' starting tight end.

numberFire's models currently project Seals-Jones to haul in 34.3 catches (63.1 targets) for 402.3 receiving yards and 4.90 touchdowns in the 2018 season. He's the TE19 in our preseason fantasy rankings.

Source: KTAR Arizona
B. Cooks WR

Rams ink Brandin Cooks to a 5-year contract extension

The Los Angeles Rams have signed wide receiver Brandin Cooks to a 5-year contract extension, per Adam Schefter of ESPN.

What It Means:

Cooks was set to become a free agent at the end of the season, but locked up through 2023, the 24-year-old is clearly in the long-term plans for the Rams' offense.

numberFire's models project Cooks for 66.1 receptions, 975.8 yards and 7.4 touchdowns on 120.7 targets this year. He is our 18th-ranked fantasy wideout for the season.

Source: Adam Schefter, ESPN
L. Bell RB

Steelers' Le'Veon Bell expected to skip training camp, report for Week 1

Pittsburgh Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell is expected to skip training camp but report for Week 1, per Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.

What It Means:

This is the same thing Bell did last season, and is not a huge surprise after the sides failed to come to terms on an extension that would keep Bell in Pittsburgh beyond 2018. Fowler reports that it would "be a shock" if Bell held out for any regular season games.

numberFire's models expect Bell to see a huge workload again this year. We project him for 1398.8 yards and 10.2 touchdowns on 315.2 carries, as well as 662.9 yards and 2.8 touchdowns on 81.5 receptions.

Source: Jeremy Fowler, ESPN
C. Meredith WR

Saints' Cameron Meredith (knee) hopes to be ready for training camp

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Cameron Meredith (knee) is hopeful that he will be cleared for the start of training camp.

What It Means:

Mereith tore his ACL last season, and back in May the Saints commented that he was "way ahead of schedule" in his recovery. If he can't go in the start of training camp, Ted Ginn could push for a bigger role while rookie Tre'Quan Smith may see some additional opportunity. With a chance that he's ready for training camp, expect Meredith to be ready for game action by Week 1.

As a sophomore in 2016 (his only full season in the NFL), Meredith turned 97 targets into 66 receptions, 888 yards and 4 touchdowns. Our models project him for 39.7 receptions, 513.7 yards and 3.1 touchdowns on 68.1 targets this year.

Source: NewOrleansSaints.com
E. Thomas DB

Earl Thomas would like to be traded if Seahawks don't offer contract extension

Seattle Seahawks safety Earl Thomas want to be traded if the team does not sign him to a contract extension.

What It Means:

Thomas is on the last year of his deal, and stands to make $8.5 million in 2018. He has threatened a holdout for training camp, and is targeting $12 million per year for his next contract.

The Seahawks finished eighth in numberFire's Adjusted Defensive Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per play metric last year, but after already losing Richard Sherman, losing Thomas would be another big blow to their secondary.

Source: Kole Musgrove, Seahawks Wire

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