3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 1/23/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Ayo Dosunmu Under 9.5 Points (-106)
The Hawks have been stingy against point guards this season, permitting the seventh-fewest points per game to the position (23.7).
Dosunmu isn't much of a scorer for the Chicago Bulls. He's averaging 9.6 points per game for the year, and while he's netted 13 and 12 over his last two games, he shot an impressive -- and unsustainable -- 11 for 17 in that span (64.7%). He's a 50.6% shooter on the season, and prior to the past two, Dosunmu had been held to eight or fewer points in five straight.
Our model projects Dosunmu to total 9.3 points on Monday night.
D'Angelo Russell Over 18.5 Points (-122)
The defense of the Houston Rockets is on the other end of the spectrum when it comes to defending point guards.
The Rockets are surrendering 27.3 points per game to the position, the second-most. Houston's D stinks overall, sitting 28th in defensive rating, and their 44.4% three-point attempt rate allowed is a league-high clip.
That has me on the over on D'Angelo Russell's points prop.
Russell has dropped in at least 21 points in three of his past four games, and we forecast him to score 19.2 points in this one.
Josh Hart Under 7.5 Rebounds (-108)
Josh Hart snagged 10 boards last time out and is averaging 8.3 rebounds per night for the campaign. Those sound like good reasons to back the over on this prop, but I think the under is the side to be on.
The matchup is a big part of it. Hart is taking on the San Antonio Spurs, a team that has kept small forwards to only 6.4 rebounds per game, tied for the fewest in the league.
Although Hart has two games of double-digit rebounds across his past four contests, those are the only games over his previous six outings in which he's gone over this line.
Our algorithm projects him to pull down 6.8 rebounds on Monday.