3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 5/24/22
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
As a result of this, the primary method of selecting hitters is to "stack" certain teams in good spots to produce. Most of the top stacks on a given day come with hefty salaries. In addition to that, a vast majority of pitchers with the upside to win tournaments are high-salaried hurlers.
Therefore, crushing your value plays can be the secret sauce to taking down a tournament. That could be a low-salaried pitcher piling up strikeouts, or it could be a low-salaried hitter swatting a long ball.
Which budget options stand out today on FanDuel?
Sonny Gray, SP, Minnesota Twins ($8,200)
This slate is littered with aces, but it's also littered with high-upside stacks lacking value.
The Dodgers, Yankees, Astros, Angels, and Braves are all on this slate in what could be defined as a "plus" spot. They're certainly not facing a top-shelf hurler. However, those stacks have a maximum of one bat under $3,000 in the heart of their order. That doesn't add up to affording Corbin Burnes.
Gray's 28.7% strikeout rate can at least hang in terms of upside with several of those guys. It'll be even better on Tuesday since Gray has a matchup with the lowly Detroit Tigers. With just a 73 wRC+ and 24.3% strikeout rate as a team against right-handed pitching, Detroit is neck-and-neck with Oakland for the worst MLB offense inside that split.
At $8,200, his salary goes a long way to fitting in top stacks that just might not be as popular because they can't fit with an ace.
Luis Arraez, 3B/2B, Minnesota Twins ($2,900)
The Tigers have only a 3.04 implied total against Gray, and that means 4.96 of the 8.0-run total is implied to belong to the home team.
The Twins draw Beau Brieske on the other side. The rookie has had a dreadful 2022 campaign that's resulted in a 5.44 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) and a 42.0% hard-hit rate. He's just getting shelled.
Minnesota has plenty of bats that can take advantage of that, but only Luis Arraez sits under $3,000. That's a tremendous value considering Arraez -- usually at the top of the order -- has a .428 wOBA against right-handed pitching. He's on base early and often.
The difference between the Twins and those aforementioned stacks is that they can work with a top-shelf pitcher. Arraez, Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco, Gary Sanchez, and Nick Gordon can all be found at or below $3,200 if they find the right spot in Tuesday's order.
David Peralta, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks ($2,700)
If it's not broken, I'm not going to fix it.
Fresh off a seven-run outing against Zack Greinke, the Diamondbacks carry a 4.99 implied total into tonight's contest. It's not likely to mirror last night's shootout with Arizona starting Zac Gallen, though.
Still, the D-Backs can absolutely get after Kansas City starter Jon Heasley. Heasley's two ugly starts thus far have left him with a 7.27 SIERA and a 48.4% hard-hit rate allowed, and when he departs, he'll give way to the sixth-worst reliever xFIP (4.18) in baseball.
Once again, David Peralta is a green light in this matchup with a low-whiff lefty. He delivered 16.2 FanDuel points from yesterday's article, and that 2-for-4 effort at the dish only further increased his .840 OPS and .255 isolated power (ISO) against right-handed pitching this year.
The Snakes are the top stack of the day again when factoring in salary. With a lower-quality righty on the bump, Peralta, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte, Pavin Smith, and Josh Rojas all carry plus marks in that split, and none are above the $3,000 mark on FanDuel.