Nico Collins to the Texans: An Interesting Profile and a Wide Range of Outcomes
The Houston Texans are going through a rebuild. They drafted a quarterback with their first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, which happened at pick 67 with Stanford quarterback Davis Mills, who profiles to have a wide range of outcomes.
So does third-round receiver Nico Collins, a big-bodied prospect from Michigan.
Who does he compare to, and what does it mean for the Texans?
Brandon Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Collins. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.
|Nico Collins Profile Comparisons||Similarity|
Gdula's Take: Remember that D.K. Metcalf was a top-20 consensus pick who fell to pick 64, which skews the comp here a bit for Collins, who went a bit earlier than his consensus rank. But Collins is big, broke out early, is athletic and had market share and efficiency concerns. There are a lot of problematic names on this list in addition to some good ones.
Collins' 2021 Fantasy Football Projection
JJ Zachariason's initial projections for Collins include 48 receptions, 553 yards, and 3.4 touchdowns, making him the PPR WR75 for the season.