Week 12 NFL FanDuel Salary Movers
Things can change quickly in fantasy football. To quote Ferris Bueller, "Life moves pretty fast. If you don't stop and look around once in a while, you could miss it."
We're here to "look around" and make sure we don't miss any week-to-week salary changes that could pay dividends on FanDuel.
Maybe a player had an outlier performance and saw their salary rise too high, making them a sub-optimal play. Perhaps a player saw an increase in their role but played on Monday night after salaries for the following week's slate already came out, and therefore they haven't been priced accordingly.
This week's article will take a look at which players salaries have changed the most from Week 11 to Week 12 and dig into why those moves happened.
Now that you're ready, let's get to it!
Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts
Week 11 Salary: $7,800
Week 12 Salary: $8,400
In what should have been close divisional contest Sunday against the Tennessee Titans, Andrew Luck and the Colts had no problem scoring at will and nearly shutting out their opponent. Luck attempted just 29 passes but connected on 23 of them for 297 yards and three touchdowns -- good for 23.88 FanDuel points. After a slow start to the season, as expected coming back from major shoulder surgery, he's scored over 22 FanDuel points in every game since Week 3 and only Cam Newton ($8,600) carries a higher salary at the position on FanDuel's main slate.
Despite his consistency, Luck's salary has bounced around between the high $7,000 to low $8,000 range and is now at it's highest point of the season. Next up, the Colts face a Miami Dolphins defense that has struggled defending both the run and the pass. Their Adjusted Defensive Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per play of 0.19 is sixth-worst, and the Colts have the highest implied team total on the main slate at 29.25. This could turn into a Marlon Mack, game but Luck has shown he can produce on limited volume.
Other Big Movers:
Josh Adams, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
Week 11 Salary: $4,500
Week 12 Salary: $5,700
With running back injuries to Jay Ajayi and Darren Sproles, the Philadelphia Eagles have turned to undrafted rookie Josh Adams. In Week 7 and 8 as part of a committee with Wendell Smallwood and Corey Clement, Adams played just 12 and 29 percent of the snaps but turned 16 carries into 108 rushing yards. On Sunday against the New Orleans Saints, Adams' snap share jumped to 55 percent, logging only seven carries for 53 yards, but he did score his first NFL touchdown. More importantly, Adams was involved in the passing game in a negative game script, garnering six targets and catching three for an additional 19 yards to finish with 14.7 FanDuel points.
With his performance, Adams received the biggest salary adjustment at any position this week, up $1,200 to $5,700. He's now priced between Peyton Barber and Duke Johnson and gets a home game against the New York Giants and their 20th-ranked rushing defense. As six point home favorites, we could see a positive game script for Adams and hopefully his receiving usage wasn't a direct result of being behind in New Orleans. He should be in your GPP player pool this week.
Other Big Movers:
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts
Week 11 Salary: $6,800
Week 12 Salary: $7,500
Last week, T.Y. Hilton was a nice value at only $6,800 coming off consecutive games scoring under 10 FanDuel points against the Raiders and Jaguars. On the fast-track in Indy, Hilton and Luck connected for his first monster game of the year, catching all nine of his targets for 155 yards and two touchdowns for 32 FanDuel points. The highlight was a 68-yard touchdown strike to the middle of the field in the second quarter, and something that has been missing from the Colts passing attack -- a deep shot. HIlton's average depth of target (aDOT) last year was 12.8 despite playing with Jacoby Brissett and Scott Tolzien, and stands at just 10 so far this season.
Hilton's salary increase of $700 to $7,500 gives him the sixth-highest salary at wide receiver on the main slate. While the Dolphins have struggled to defend the pass, our advanced stats show they rank fourth versus team's top wideouts, thanks in large part to Xavien Howard. However, Hilton needs just one play to break the game open, and our projection of 13.8 points is fourth best at wide receiver.
Other Big Movers:
Eric Ebron, TE, Indianapolis Colts
Week 11 Salary: $6,000
Week 12 Salary: $5,500
Eric Ebron is the third Colt on this list, but unlike Luck and Hilton, Ebron's salary went down to $5,500 this week. Since Jack Doyle's return, Ebron has played 22, 38, and 40 percent of the snaps over his last three games. That hasn't hurt his red-zone usage, as Ebron's 16 red-zone targets are third-most at the position.
After scoring three touchdowns against the Jaguars, including a rushing score, Ebron's salary increased to $6,000. If you were chasing points this past week, you were let down as Ebron failed to receive a single target, though he did throw a pass to Luck in the end zone that was incomplete. Doyle and Ebron are the same price this week, with Doyle being the preferred option as he's played over 80 percent of the snaps since their bye in Week 9.
Other Big Movers:
Ryan Bobbitt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ryan Bobbitt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Drummerinabox. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.