Fantasy Football Mailbag: Tuesday 12/6/16
Fantasy football research never stops, and roles change drastically from one week to the next. That's where our fantasy football mailbag comes into play.
Have a question about a certain player, team, strategy, or anything football? Shoot us a question on Twitter or send an email to Brandon.Gdula@FanDuel.com, and we can talk anything fantasy football related -- even daily fantasy football.
Now, let's answer some questions.
@numberFire @gdula13 Rivers, Eli or Cousins in week 1 of fantasy playoffs? 4 pts for TD and no negative points for turnovers
â€” Gerry Moscaritolo (@Gmosca58) December 6, 2016
Let's start with our projections here.
This week, Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers face the Carolina Panthers on the road. We project him to finish as the QB22 this week based on our default scoring (don't worry, we'll sort that part out in a second). He's projected for 16.06 points with a range from 10.30 to 21.82. That's a pretty low floor and a low ceiling, too.
Eli Manning is a bit better off against the Dallas Cowboys at home -- but not much. He's our QB17, projected for 17.49 points with a range from 10.76 to 24.22. The floor isn't much higher than what our algorithm sees for Rivers, but the ceiling is nicer.
That gives Cousins -- projected for a full 1.03 picks compared to 0.82 or fewer for the other two quarterbacks -- the clear edge. Even after getting dinged for an interception,which doesn't impact your scoring, Cousins looks like the best bet of the three this week.
@numberFire 1st rd bye, drop brate for https://t.co/lN6CxxPnm3 in standard? what about dropping ertz for https://t.co/lN6CxxPnm3 in .5ppr?
â€” Justin Matthews (@jdm5_80) December 6, 2016
So, the main question here is whether Ladarius Green is worth adding. In a vacuum, he is worth adding. He hasn't topped 48% of snaps for the Pittsburgh Steelers yet, but he managed to draw 11 targets regardless last week in his 35 snaps.
So, what about dropping Cameron Brate? Well, Brate has played 60% or more of snaps every game except for one since Week 3. He gets the New Orleans Saints (19th against tight ends) twice and Cowboys (27th) once. That's not bad, and Green's matchup against the Ravens looks pretty iffy. I think you can't go wrong here, especially if you think you can scoop Brate back up for a potential Week 16 championship game.
Basically, all have good spots, but Green and Ertz face a tough Baltimore defense, too.
I'd try to drop Brate for Green and go back to Brate for Week 16, if possible, and lean toward Green over Ertz until Week 16, too.
Want to have your questions answered in our mailbag? Submit your questions by tweeting @numberFire or sending an email to Brandon.Gdula@FanDuel.com.