5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays.
If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing one of these lower-salaried options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at some players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup on FanDuel tonight, using numberFire's daily fantasy basketball projections as a guide.
Talen Horton-Tucker, SG/SF, Jazz ($5,900)
Kris Dunn, PG, Jazz ($4,500)
The Utah Jazz are a go-to value spot on Tuesday's slate. Utah traded away Malik Beasley and Mike Conley, and they're expected to be without Jordan Clarkson and Collin Sexton in a dreamy matchup with the San Antonio Spurs (236.5-point total).
In a 119-minute sample with all of the above guys off the floor, Talen Horton-Tucker owns a 25.9% usage rate and produces 1.23 FanDuel points per minute, according to CourtIQ. We project him for 32.0 minutes and 33.9 FanDuel points, which amounts to 5.8 points per $1,000.
Kris Dunn will likely get bumped into the starting five. In the aforementioned split, he's held a 30.3% usage rate and put up 1.45 FanDuel points per minute, although the sample is only 24 minutes. He could wind up as the slate's premier value cog.
Dennis Schroder, PG/SG, Lakers ($5,500)
The Los Angeles Lakers are another team that's super short-handed, as LeBron James is out and D'Angelo Russell is doubtful.
With those two and Russell Westbrook off the court this year, Dennis Schroder boasts a 26.2% usage rate and scores 0.94 FanDuel points per minute. That's a usage-rate bump of a whopping 7.0 percentage points.
Our model has Schroder getting 32.0 minutes, and minutes equal money in NBA DFS.
While a matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies is a tough one, this should be a fast-paced affair as both sides sit in the top six in pace.
Jonathan Kuminga, SF, Warriors ($4,100)
Jonathan Kuminga has been projecting well for a few slates due to the Golden State Warriors missing some key pieces, but he hasn't yet had a real breakthrough game. Tonight may be the night.
Kuminga gets to play the Portland Trail Blazers. Over the last seven games, the Blazers have permitted the third-most FanDuel points per night to small forwards (44.3).
What Kuminga has lacked in upside of late, he's made up for in consistency, posting 20.5, 16.5, 21.1 and 20.5 FanDuel points over his last four. He's done that with just two combined blocks/steals in that stretch. For the year, he's averaging 1.7 blocks/steals per 36 minutes. If he gets some block/steal luck today, he could pop off.
Our algorithm loves him, pegging Kuminga to score 24.6 FanDuel points (6.0 per $1,000) and rating him as the night's best point-per-dollar play (as of early Tuesday afternoon).
Daniel Gafford, C, Wizards ($6,000)
Kristaps Porzingis will be sidelined tonight for the Washington Wizards, and that brings Daniel Gafford and Deni Avdija ($5,400) into the value discussion. Let's focus on Gafford.
With Porzingis (and Rui Hachimura) off the court this campaign, Gafford has recorded 1.17 FanDuel points per minute, which is a team-high mark.
Even with KP, Gafford usually puts up solid numbers when he gets good run, averaging 32.5 FanDuel points per game over the last nine games in which he's seen at least 23 minutes. Minutes shouldn't be an issue today.
In a matchup with the Atlanta Hawks, Gafford projects for 29.7 minutes and 32.0 FanDuel points (5.3 per $1,000), per our numbers.