DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for Bundesliga Matchday 32 (6/16/20)
While other leagues around Europe are starting up again, the Bundesliga is winding down. We have only three more Matchweeks left in the league, so let's look at this three game slate we have on Tuesday. Here's the odds for those games, courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook.
|Werder Bremen +1100||+700||Bayern Munich -650|
|Freiburg +160||+250||Hertha Berlin +160|
|Union Berlin -150||+310||Paderborn +400|
Forwards to Target
Robert Lewandowski ($11,200): Lewandowski was suspended for Saturday's match due to yellow card accumulation, so he should be fresh and ready to go for this game against Werder Bremen. He leads the Bundesliga with 30 goals this season. Werder Bremen have improved since the restart but have still allowed the second-most goals in the league with 64. Lewandowski leads the league in shots per game with 4.5, according to WhoScored.com. He also has ridiculous anytime goal scoring odds of -350, by far the best on the slate. With only three games on the slate, Lewandowski will be tough to fade considering his goal scoring prowess and matchup. He is certainly worthy of a roster spot in all formats.
Sebastian Andersson ($8,000): Andersson has had a good season for Union Berlin in both his and the club's debut season in the Bundesliga. He's up to 12 goals in the league, which is tied for the seventh-most. Union are not as large of favorites as Bayern are, but they still are comfortably favored at -155 over last-placed Paderborn. Paderborn are fresh off allowing five goals to Werder Bremen and have now conceded the most goals in the league. This is a matchup that Andersson can exploit. He is good at scoring from set pieces, and Paderborn have allowed 15 goals from set pieces this season, the third-most in the league. His odds to score are close to even money, and he makes for a good tournament play at the forward spot.
Nils Petersen ($5,600): Petersen is a cheap forward who could score a goal for Freiburg in their match against Hertha Berlin. Petersen has 10 goals on the season, a very good total for a forward at his price. He could also add some peripheral stats, too, with 2.05 shots per 90 minutes and 1.22 shot assists per 90, according to Rotowire. Hertha ranks in the middle of the pack in most defensive metrics. Petersen is a great value play in tournaments and could be paired with Lewandowski as two reasonably priced forwards who have a decent shot at scoring.
Midfielders to Target
Serge Gnabry ($9,700): Playing Serge Gnabry is a way to get exposure to Bayern Munich while still being somewhat contrarian. He is unlikely to be as highly owned as some of his teammates such as Lewandowski, Thomas Müller and Joshua Kimmich. Gnabry is one of only three players in the Bundesliga with double-digit goals and assists. He showed massive upside earlier in the season, with a four-goal game against Tottenham in the Champions League. With per-90 minute rates of over three shots, three crosses and two chances created, his floor is also pretty solid. Gnabry also has the second-best goal scoring odds on the slate, at -165. It's definitely a reasonable strategy to take the ownership and price discount in a tournament and use Gnabry instead of Lewandowski.
Vladimir Darida ($6,800): Darida retained set-piece duty for Hertha Berlin in their last match. It hasn't really helped him much in DFS in the past two matches, but against Augsburg on Matchday 29, he had 11 crosses and an assist. The matchup for Darida should be good against Freiburg, considering they have allowed the fourth-most crosses per game in the Bundesliga. Freiburg also give up the most shots per game, so hopefully Darida can rack up some shot assists to go with the crosses he will get. He's a good play for cash games in the mid-tier price range of midfielders.
Antony Evans ($4,400): Evans made his first start for Paderborn in their last match against Werder Bremen. His performance was a lone bright spot -- fantasy-wise -- for the side as they lost 5-1. Evans had five crosses and two shots, one being on target. He also took some corner kicks in that match, so those crosses should keep coming. Paderborn are staring down the barrel of relegation, so they might look to give new players like Evans an opportunity to play. For just $4,400, he's one of the best value plays on the entire slate. He can be used in any lineup in order to get to some of the expensive Bayern Munich players.
Defenders to Target
Christian Günter ($6,200): The decision among high-priced defenders for fantasy players on this slate will come down to Christian Günter or Marvin Plattenhardt ($6,000). Günter has a few things going for him to make him the choice. He averages 8.20 crosses per 90 minutes, compared to just 4.56 for Plattenhardt. He also is the clear leader in corners taken for Freiburg while Plattenhardt is second behind Darida. Günter's opponents, Hertha Berlin, allow the third-most crosses per game, as well. He can be played with Nils Petersen as a tournament stack, as the defender has assisted the striker for a goal three times this season.
Ken Reichel ($3,000): There aren't a lot of good plays at defender on this slate, so why not take a shot on a super cheap full-back? Reichel looks set to fill in for Christopher Lenz again as Lenz looks likely to miss with an injury. Reichel has had very limited playing time this season, but he does have 3.75 crosses per 90 in that time. Reichel's Union Berlin face the second-lowest scoring team in the league in Paderborn. A clean sheet is certainly a possibility, and the three bonus points along would nearly pay off the measley $3,000 salary.
Goalkeepers to Target
Manuel Neuer ($5,900): Taking a goalkeeper on a -650 favorite is safe move, especially when it's Manuel Neuer. Neuer has won 10 straight league games and recorded a clean sheet in five of them. Bayern are even money to keep a clean sheet in this game, so Neuer has good chance of getting at least 10 points.
Alexander Schwolow ($4,600): Schwolow could benefit from Freiburg giving up a lot of shots, as we saw on Matchday 28. Schwolow allowed three goals but made 13 saves and wound up with a 20-DraftKings point outing. The odds for this match are fluctuating, but at the time of writing, Freiburg are a true pick'em against Hertha. It makes sense to use the cheaper goalie of the two in this tight affair, making Schwolow a decent keeper play on Tuesday.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.