Bundesliga DFS: FanDuel Helper for Matchday 32
In these times, we're all making adjustments. FanDuel is no different, and they are now offering Bundesliga daily fantasy.
Finally, some good news.
The slate kicks off at 2:30 p.m. EST on Tuesday. Lineups will be announced at 1:30 p.m. EST. All betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published. The 12:30 p.m. Wolfsburg-Gladbach match is not on the slate.
|Hertha Berlin at Freiburg||Hertha (+150)||-126||Piatek/Petersen (+150)|
|Bayern Munich at Werder Bremen||Bayern (-550)||-300||Lewandowski (-340)|
|Paderborn at Union Berlin||Union (-155)||-138||Andersson (+105)|
You don't need me to tell you this, but Bayern are gonna be crazy popular for their road match at Werder Bremen. Robert Lewandowski ($23), Thomas Muller ($21) and Serge Gnabry ($20) are the three most expensive options on the board, and Lewa -- with -340 anytime goal odds -- could see ownership in the 70% range on this small slate.
Fading Lewa is scary, especially since he's fully rested after being banned last weekend, but if I'm making just one lineup, it is probably the route I'd take given how popular he'll be. Bayern have plenty of other high-ceiling options we can stack, starting with Gnabry (-160 goal odds) and Muller (+110). Kingsley Coman ($14; +160) is a great point-per-dollar play, and the same goes for Ivan Perisic ($13; +110) if he finds his way into the starting XI. Leon Goretzka ($16; +300) is averaging 19.2 FanDuel points per game since play resumed.
After Bayern, Union Berlin are the most appealing team as they're -155 to win at home versus last-placed Paderborn. Paderborn have conceded a league-worst 67 goals in 31 matches, including five to Werder Bremen last weekend, which puts Union's Sebastian Andersson ($17; +105) in a great spot.
I expect Andersson -- who has by far the best anytime goal odds in this match -- to be the highest-owned non-Bayern player. He's bagged a team-best 12 goals for the season and has put four shots on target across his past four outings. Marius Bülter ($15: +190) and Marcus Ingvartsen ($13; +220) have seven and five goals, respectively, and could fly under the radar with the masses likely flocking to Andersson.
The Hertha-Freiburg match is a toss-up, with Hertha a slight favorite at +150. It could be a swing game on this slate.
For Hertha, Krzysztof Piatek ($18; +150) started at the weekend and made the net bulge for the third time in his last four games. His penalty duties are a big boost to his DFS stock. If Piatek starts again, he's worth using, but Vedad Ibisevic ($16; +195) is an enticing pivot who would likely see less ownership.
Nils Petersen ($14; +150) checks a lot of boxes on the Freiburg side if he gets into the starting lineup -- something that's happened only once in his last four games. He's tied with Piatek for the match's top anytime goal odds, and he's recorded two goals over his past four outings. Petersen's 10 goals pace the team, with no other player having more than six.
At first glance, there's not much to like about Paderborn, but that could make them a good place to look for a GPP difference maker. Despite their last win coming back on January 25th, Paderborn are capable of getting a goal at Union. They have drawn four times in six matches, tallying at least one expected goal -- per FB-Ref -- in each of their last four games.
While Dennis Srbeny ($15; +280) has the best goal odds on Paderborn, I'm into Streli Mamba ($10; +290), who should be in the starting XI after last weekend's suspension. His goal odds are decent and the salary helps us jam in Bayern studs.
It shouldn't be too hard to find the cash to roster Alphonso Davies ($16; +600) and Benjamin Pavard ($15; +600). While they'll be popular, a way to be contrarian with them would be to roster both.
Davies has gone for 30-plus FanDuel points twice after the break, and each time -- versus Dusseldorf and Frankfurt -- was in a game in which Bayern were monster favorites. He didn't spend quite as much time bombing forward against Leverkusen (12.7 FD points) and Dortmund (8.6). He can have a ceiling game at Werder Bremen. Pavard will likely see less ownership than Davies but is actually averaging 1.5 more FanDuel points per game since play resumed.
Any Werder Bremen defender is a high-floor play against Bayern. I'll probably plug in the cheapest one and go from there. Niklas Moisander ($8) started last match and can give you cap relief.
While Paderborn's defenders won't be quite as busy as Werder Bremen's, they should have decent floors, too. Jan-Luca Rumpf ($7) started last game, and so did Jamilu Collins ($10). Collins has scored between 9.3 and 12.8 FanDuel points in each of his last five games.
Obviously, Manuel Neuer ($14) has the best win odds on the slate. He's priced as such and should be popular. Save volume isn't in his favor, though, so if he misses out on the clean-sheet bonus, he'll probably be in the single digits. Still, even that floor is valuable on this slate.
Union's Rafal Gikiewicz ($10) might wind up being the slate's highest-owned keeper. He offers a sweet combination of cheap salary and good win odds. He's certainly capable of getting a clean-sheet win against Paderborn -- the dream scenario -- but he's far from safe and isn't someone I'll be going out of my way to use if I fade Neuer.
Instead, I'll probably choose between Rune Jarstein ($12) or Alexander Schwolow ($9) from the Hertha-Freiburg matchup. Priced between Neuer and Gikiewicz, Jarstein could slip through the cracks, and he has the third-best win odds on the slate. But with Hertha just +150 to win, Schwolow is firmly in play, too. If I go with one of these two, I'll likely stack him with one of his team's attackers.