FanDuel Soccer: Bundesliga DFS Helper for Matchday 30
In these times, we're all making adjustments. FanDuel is no different, and they are now offering Bundesliga daily fantasy.
Finally, some good news.
The slate kicks off at 9:30 a.m. EST on Saturday. Lineups will be announced at 8:30 a.m. EST. All betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.
|Paderborn at RB Leipzig||Leipzig (-850)||-430||Werner (-380)|
|Bayern Munich at Leverkusen||Bayern Munich (-210)||-330||Lewandowski (-230)|
|Mainz at Eintracht Frankfurt||Eintracht Frankfurt (+100)||-178||Silva/Dost (+105)|
|Hoffenheim at Dusseldorf||Hoffenheim (+145)||-152||Skov/Hennings (+135)|
|Hertha Berlin at Dortmund||Dortmund (-290)||-270||Haaland (-220)|
Whew, boy -- this is a really fun slate. With Bayern Munich, Dortmund and RB Leipzig all in action, we should see plenty of goals, and there are so many ways to go with lineup construction.
Let's hit on those big three teams.
Leipzig (-850) are colossal home favorites over Paderborn, and this match has fantasy goodness written all over it (-430 to go over 2.5 goals). We should see multiple Leipzig goals, with 2-0 and 3-0 Leipzig wins both listed at +700 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Leipzig easily meets our threshold for stacking, which is implied win odds of at least 70%. Timo Werner ($23) is the slate's highest-priced player and is a slate-best -380 to score anytime. Patrik Schick ($17, -140), Christopher Nkuku ($16, +115), and Marcel Sabitzer ($14, +145) are all appealing, as well. Personally, I love Sabitzer -- who has nine goals and six assists in 27 league starts -- at his price. He's taken nine shots (four on target) in his last four.
I think the Bayern-Leverkusen fixture could be closer than the line (Bayern at -210) suggests, but it's still an unquestionably dope spot for Bayern's attackers in a match that's -330 to go over 2.5 goals. Robert Lewandowski ($22) is -230 to score anytime and has four goals on 14 shots over four games since the restart. Thomas Muller ($19, +135) and Serge Gnabry ($18, +100) are also high-upside options. Gnabry could fly under the radar due to his lackluster fantasy output since play resumed (8.1 FanDuel points per game), and he brings a sky-high ceiling to the table each week. Leon Goretzka ($14, +340) continues to be a cost-efficient way to get exposure to Bayern's attack.
Dortmund are the second-biggest favorites (-290) of the slate at home versus Hertha Berlin, but that match's over 2.5 goal odds (-270) aren't as sexy as what Bayern and Leipzig get in their matches. Still, this is a blow-up spot for BVB's top options -- Jadon Sancho ($20, -120) and Erling Haaland ($19, -220). At -220 to score anytime, Haaland is one of the slate's best plays, and he could go a tad under-owned since he's been pretty quiet over his past four (one goal and two shots on target) and sat out last match with a knee ailment, though he trained Thursday. Sancho's hat trick in his last outing ensures he'll be popular.
One note with Dortmund is that they play in the late game, so we won't know their starting XI when lineups lock for the other four matches. That can pigeon-hole us into certain players if BVB wind up with a surprising lineup, and it also makes Haaland riskier unless he's cleared before Saturday. When Haaland sat last week, Thorgan Hazard ($17) played centrally, and Julian Brandt ($13) started on the wing.
Ownership figures to center on those three teams, so hitting one of the other sides could give your lineups a big boost. Of the rest of the lot, I like Eintracht Frankfurt the best. Die Adler are +100 to win at home versus Mainz, a side that's conceded 62 goals in 29 league matches, including 35 in 14 away fixtures. Frankfurt, meanwhile, have been a free-scoring bunch at home, bagging 31 goals in 14 matches. Even though home-field advantage has been muted without fans in the stands, those splits are worth noting.
Eintracht Frankfurt have netted at least two goals in each of their last four outings, scoring 10 in all in that span. Andre Silva ($18, +105) is red-hot and is tied for the best anytime goal odds in the match. Silva took the team's only penalty since the restart (cashed it) and has tallied four goals in the last five matches. He may not see too much ownership, assuming the masses flock to the high-priced stars on this slate's big three squads. Bas Dost ($13, +105) would be a great value target if he starts. His anytime goal odds are level with Silva's, but Dost has made the starting lineup just twice in five post-break matches.
Robert Skov ($16) keeps killing it, so we'll keep talking about him. A winger who is listed as a defender on FanDuel, Skov continues to be a cheat code, racking up 13 shots (four on target) with a goal and an assist in the last four games. Hoffenheim (+145) are slight favorites versus Dusseldorf, and Skov will likely keep generating crosses and getting into dangerous areas. His +135 anytime goal odds are tied for tops in the match, something you just don't see from a defender.
With Paderborn's back line likely to be very busy against Leipzig, whoever they start at the back will be a high-floor play. Last game they opted for Jamilu Collins ($13), Uwe Hunemeier ($12), Mohamed Drager ($10) and Christian Strohdiek ($8) at defender. They conceded six in that one, so they may change it up, but there should be low-cost players with high floors available for Paderborn.
Daley Sinkgraven ($7) and Edmond Tapsoba ($7) are dirt-cheap options who are probable starters for Leverkusen in a match versus Bayern, a game where Leverkusen will likely spend a lot of time without the ball. As long as they start, these two will have solid floors and can help us pay up for the stud attackers on this slate.
The common lineup build this week may be to punt at defender and load up on attackers from Leipzig, Bayern and Dortmund. If it is, then Alphonso Davies ($16), Benjamin Pavard ($14) and Angelino ($13) might not be all that popular. Davies and Pavard are averaging 22.7 FanDuel points per game since the restart and should spend plenty of time in forward areas, per usual. Angelino can generate plenty of crosses against Paderborn, a team allowing the fourth-most crosses per game in the league, and he is a cheap stacking partner for any Leipzig attacker.
Manuel Neuer ($14), Peter Gulacsi ($13) and Roman Burki ($12) have the best win odds and are priced as such as the three most expensive keepers. While Burki and Gulacsi nice options at a decent price, I'm intrigued by Neuer, who could see the least amount of ownership among this trio. Bayern are -210 to win, and Neuer might offer more save volume than he usually does with Bayern facing a decent Leverkusen side.
Oliver Baumann ($11) and Kevin Trapp ($11) are really nice point-per-dollar plays, though they have significantly worse win odds than the aforementioned three goalies. If you use an Eintracht Frankfurt attacker, Trapp makes for a decent stacking partner, and Frankfurt are +100 to win. Baumann is risky with Hoffenheim just +145 to take all three points at Dusseldorf, but Dusseldorf are dead last in the Bundesliga in expected goals (29.3 in 31 matches).
Lastly, if you're feeling frisky, Florian Kastenmeier ($7) isn't a bad dart throw. Dusseldorf are +175 to beat Hoffenheim -- not brutal odds -- and Kastenmeier's price tag comes in handy on this slate. I would expect his salary to be enticing for a lot of people, though, which lessens the appeal. In a similar type of situation last week, Schalke's Alexander Nubel saw quite a bit of ownership at a $5 price tag.