DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for Bundesliga Matchday 30
Matchweek 30 is the first main slate on DraftKings that includes German giants Bayern Munich. They normally are massive favorites in most games they play in the league, but that isn't the case here, as we see from the odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Leverkusen +490||+400||Bayern Munich -220|
|Fortuna Düsseldorf +175||+250||Hoffenheim +145|
|Frankfurt +105||+260||Mainz +250|
|RB Leipzig -850||+700||Paderborn +1700|
Forwards to Target
Timo Werner ($11,300): As we can see, Leipzig have by far the best odds to win on the slate as they are up against last-place Paderborn. Werner has the second-most goals in the Bundesliga with 25, including four since the league resumed. Robert Lewandowski is the only player with more goals, and he is playing on this slate, as well. Werner's anytime goal scoring odds are -360, better than Lewandowski's -260. If paying up for a goal scorer, it might be worth it to pay all the way up for Werner in a better spot. Paderborn allowed six goals last time out against Dortmund and have allowed the third-most goals in the league this season with 61. Werner is the most expensive player available but has legitimate hat-trick upside, already having three hat tricks this season.
André Silva ($6,800): Silva has been in good form since the restart, scoring in three straight games and four out of the five total. He's up to eight goals in 20 league games and on a rate basis has scored 0.60 goals every 90 minutes, according to Rotowire. His Eintracht Frankfurt team face off against Mainz, the team that have conceded the most goals in the league. Silva's +105 goal-scoring odds are some of the best on the slate for a player not on Bayern Munich or RB Leipzig. He's a nice value play for tournaments as he has a good possibility of scoring at a relatively cheap price.
Rouwen Hennings ($5,800): Another player who is rather affordable and has a decent goal-scoring record is Rouwen Hennings. Hennings plays for a team that will mostly go overlooked in Fortuna Düsseldorf with many other more popular teams playing on Saturday. However, they are matched up against Hoffenheim in a match that could be fairly even. Hoffenheim haven't been the most stellar team defensively this campaign, allowing the third-most shots and third-most crosses per game, according to WhoScored.com. Hennings scored in his first start since the break in the last Düsseldorf match. He doesn't have as good of goal-scoring odds as André Silva, but playing them both could allow you to play a top-priced forward such as Werner or Lewandowski.
Midfielders to Target
Filip Kostić ($10,000): A different way to spend up besides the expensive forwards is the ultimate crosser, Filip Kostić. Kostić had one of his classic games on Wednesday during a make-up game, tallying 16 crosses and an assist against Werder Bremen. With Mainz allowing the most goals and second-most shots per game in the league, Kostić has another chance to have a big outing. His massive 12.25 crosses per 90 minutes means his floor is unmatched by anyone, putting him in consideration for any cash-game lineup.
Angeliño ($7,800): Angeliño is another option on RB Leipzig who is enticing. He had a great game last time out, with eight crosses and six shot assists. He gets crosses through taking corner kicks, taking 3.07 corners per 90 since joining Leipzig on loan from Manchester City. He'll have a great chance to get off crosses in this game against Paderborn, as they allow the fourth-most crosses per game in the league. He's a great play in all formats because of his crossing, and the matchup that gives him a chance to record multiple assists.
Sebastian Rudy ($4,600): Rudy is a salary-relief play who is much needed to fit in expensive players in your lineup. He gets a split of corner duties for Hoffenheim and contributes in other ways. He averages over one tackle won, one foul drawn and one chance created per 90 minutes. All of these make him worth this cheap price against a Düsseldorf side that has allowed the fourth-most goals in the Bundesliga. Rudy is one of the safest plays down in this range and one of the only players for this price who is really worth considering.
Defenders to Target
Joshua Kimmich ($6,300): Kimmich actually hasn't played defender in a while, but that is still his position on DraftKings. He's been playing as a defensive midfielder, but that surprisingly hasn't damaged his fantasy value. He has one goal and two assists in the four games after the layoff to go with 28 crosses and nine shot assists. He is able to get further forward than most defensive midfielders due to Bayern Munich's dominant possession game, as their 62.6% possession rate is the best in the league. Kimmich still being listed as a defender does have a benefit -- if Bayern are able to keep a clean sheet, he would score three points that he really shouldn't get as a midfielder.
Matthias Zimmerman ($4,500): Zimmerman is one of the lower-priced full-backs who actually crosses on this slate. He has 110 crosses total this season for Düsseldorf. With some full-backs mislabelled as midfielders, there aren't a ton of value plays we can rely on to get crosses. With Kimmich possibly being the only exception, defender might be a position we look to save money at if we can. Zimmerman isn't at a huge price discount, but he also isn't overpriced and doesn't restrict the rest of our lineup.
Martin Hinteregger ($4,400): If you're really trying to shoot the moon, Martin Hinteregger is the way to go. He is tied for the lead in goals for Frankfurt this season with eight from his center-back position. He's facing the team that have conceded the second-most goals from set pieces this campaign. Pairing him with Filip Kostić and getting a goal from a corner kick is a nice correlation play in tournaments.
Goalkeepers to Target
Péter Gulácsi ($5,900): We haven't seen as large of a favorite on a main slate as Leipzig are here. Gulácsi's price is the maximum for a goalkeeper on DraftKings, and a case could be made that he's worth this salary. Leipzig are so likely to win and also are favored to keep a clean sheet against Paderborn. Gulácsi costs just $200 more than Manuel Neuer, who is only a -220 favorite (compared to -850 for Gulácsi) and faces a much tougher test against Leverkusen.
Florian Kastenmeier ($4,600): The best pay-down option for keeper could be Florian Kastenmeier of Düsseldorf. While his last outing was a rough one against Bayern Munich, he had been solid in his past three games. Hoffenheim are obviously a much easier matchup than Bayern, as they have scored just 40 goals, compared to Bayern's 86. Kastenmeier is the type of goalie play that you make because while he's not a favorite, he's unlikely to blow up in your face.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.