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Super Bowl Prop-A-Palooza, Part 1

Will Torrey Smith score first for the Ravens, and when will it happen in the game?

It's Super Bowl time and that means three things: an inexorably boring and useless Pro Bowl, tons of horrific media coverage focusing on inane storylines, and enough prop bets to drown you in a frothy sea of mathematic delight! Through the next two weeks, we'll be selecting a few prop bets at a time, running the numbers and giving you the best recommendations. We'll try to stick to more interesting ones - sorry, coin flip fans - but if you have a specific prop you'd like for us to look at, feel free to email me at and we'll see what we can do.

Which Ravens player will score the first touchdown for his team?

At first glance, this seems like a shoo-in to be Ray Rice, as he led the team in touchdowns with 10. Looking at the players to score first, Torrey Smith and Ray Rice led all Ravens at four this year; before last week against the Patriots, Ray Rice had not been the first Raven to find the end zone since Week 9 against the Browns. In addition, both Vonta Leach and Anthony Allen vultured touchdowns from Rice early in games. Of course, a single season of comparables is not significant enough to make any recommendations, so we dug into our list of game predictors to determine the likely culprit.

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