5 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target in Week 12
There isn't a better starting point for unearthing values for FanDuel NFL contests than numberFire's projections tool.
Users can easily view the entire player pool or sort by position to see statistical projections for all players. Additionally, the column for value provides a sortable way to view which players offer the most bang for your buck, showing users the player's points per thousand dollars of salary.
But, of course, factors such as a team's implied total and the game's spread are integral for decision-making. Fortunately, you can peruse the heat map for that information and a wealth of other goodies.
Nevertheless, other considerations help inform my selection. So, this is your home for finding the five FanDuel values I'm targeting weekly for their main slate. Check this week's picks below.
Isaiah Hodgins, WR, New York Giants ($5,100)
There's an extra main slate on FanDuel this week for Thanksgiving. So, I've opted to include one value player from Thursday's three-game slate. The New York Giants scooped up Isaiah Hodgins after he was released by the Buffalo Bills, allowing him to reunite with Brian Daboll. Hodgins instantly emerged as a part of New York's receiving corps, playing 64.18 percent of the snaps in Week 10 and 59.72 percent in Week 11.
Additionally, per Pro Football Focus (PFF), Hodgins was tied for the fourth-most routes (42) for the G-Men since Week 10, reeling in five receptions for 74 yards on five targets. The club might ask for more from Hodgins in the wake of Wan'Dale Robinson's season-ending injury. Further, Richie James was listed as a limited participant on Tuesday's injury report.
Hodgins hasn't done much in the NFL, but he was highly productive in his final collegiate season in 2019. Per PFF, Hodgins was tied for 42nd in yards per route run (2.67 Y/RR) among 326 FBS wideouts targeted at least 40 times in 2019. The big-bodied wideout had 86 receptions for 1,158 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns on 118 targets in 12 games during his final college campaign.
Rachaad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,400)
Rachaad White had his first NFL start in Week 10 before the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their bye in Week 11. He toted the rock 22 times for 105 yards, doing his best work down the stretch. Yet, White is a risky pick.
Leonard Fournette had 14 carries and one target versus 11 rushes for White before the former left the contest with a hip injury. White is also listed behind Fournette on the team's depth chart. Still, White's 105 rushing yards were the most for Tampa Bay since Fournette had 127 in Week 1. Fournette had his second-most rushing yards (65) in Week 2 and cleared 60 rushing yards only once in his last eight games.
Thus, it wouldn't be shocking to see a changing of the guard in Tampa Bay's backfield in their return from the bye. They also leaned heavily into the running attack in their last game. The Bucs attempted 29 passes and 38 rushes by non-quarterbacks in Week 10. Therefore, there is plenty of meat on the bone for two backs succeeding if the Bucs frequently run in a good matchup this week.
The Cleveland Browns are the third-wost rush defense in our power rankings. Devin Singletary (86 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and James Cook (86 rushing yards on 11 attempts) just steamrolled the Browns in Week 11, and the Bucs might have taken notice.
Tampa is also a 3.5-point favorite. As a result, the game script should be good for them.
Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($6,100)
Drake London was bailed out by touchdowns in back-to-back games. The rookie wideout hasn't exceeded 40 receiving yards since Week 3. Still, London demonstrated his ability in the first three weeks. From Week 1 through Week 3, he had 25 targets (31.6 percent target share), 16 receptions, 214 yards, 176 air yards, and 2 touchdowns.
Sadly, Kyle Pitts suffered a season-ending knee injury last week, removing London's stiffest competition for targets from the Atlanta Falcons. Nevertheless, London isn't a shoo-in to absorb Pitts' vacated targets since Marcus Mariota has spread the ball around. Additionally, the Dirty Birds are a run-first team at its core.
Yet, Atlanta might be forced to throw more this week than they usually do. The Washington Commanders are the best run defense by our metrics. As a result, Washington's opponents have attempted 232 passes and 116 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts this year.
The matchup is outstanding for London, too. According to Football Outsiders, No. 1 wide receivers have averaged the 10th-most receiving yards per game (76.7) against the Commanders this season. There's a risk to using London on this week's main slate, but he's an exciting tournament choice.
Treylon Burks, WR, Tennessee Titans ($5,900)
It hasn't been a fairytale rookie season for Treylon Burks. Nonetheless, there have been encouraging signs of the lightbulb flickering on since he returned from Injured Reserve (IR) in Week 10. Per PFF, Burks has garnered a target on 26 percent of his routes (50) in the past two games, securing 10 receptions for 135 yards on a useful 8.2-yard average depth of target.
The Tennessee Titans desperately need someone to emerge in their lackluster receiving corps. Burks might have earned more trust and opportunities from the coaching staff after barbecuing the Green Bay Packers for seven receptions and 111 receiving yards last week.
Tennessee might also be dragged into a shootout this week, despite the game's low total (42.5 points). The Cincinnati Bengals have scored 79 points in their last two games, both without Ja'Marr Chase, easing concerns of their faceplant in Week 8 in the first game the second-year wideout missed this season. Chase is day-to-day, but the Bengals have proven they can light up the scoreboard, even if he's out again. Burks isn't a risk-free value option, but he's intriguing, with the upside of outproducing his modest salary.
Justin Watson, WR, Kansas City Chiefs ($5,000)
Mecole Hardman is on IR, JuJu Smith-Schuster is in the NFL's concussion protocol, and Kadarius Toney's hamstring tightened up in Week 11. Smith-Schuster seemingly should clear the protocol after sitting out last week, but Toney's hamstring warrants monitoring. However, Justin Watson should be involved in the Kansas City Chiefs' offense in some capacity, regardless of the health of his teammates.
According to PFF, he ran the most routes (37) in Week 11, eight more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Travis Kelce. The veteran wideout had three receptions for 67 yards on four targets. Watson's yardage output was the second-most on the team. Meanwhile, MVS had one reception for 18 yards on four targets. Watson is a height, weight, and speed guy, essentially the same archetype as MVS. The former has run 66 routes since Week 10 versus 63 for the latter.
Obviously, the Chiefs spent big bucks on MVS in free agency, and Watson was a minor signing. Yet, Andy Reid hasn't been afraid to accept a sunk cost and move a more productive player up the depth chart. No. Watson hasn't lit the world on fire, and Valdes-Scantling had a 90-yard effort in Week 5 and a 111-yard showing in Week 7. Still, Watson has scored two touchdowns and flashed chemistry with Patrick Mahomes in a part-time role this season.
Thankfully, Kansas City's pass-first offense can support multiple pass-catchers. Mahomes has chucked the pigskin 267 times, and Kansas City's non-quarterbacks have attempted only 125 rushes in neutral game scripts this season. The Chiefs have also kept their pedal to the metal, attempting 74 passes and just 60 rushes by non-quarterbacks when leading by at least eight points this season.
Kansas City's implied total and the matchup are also outstanding for Watson's outlook. First, the Chiefs have the second-highest implied total (29.25) on FanDuel's main slate for Sunday. Second, according to Pro Football Reference, the Los Angeles Rams have allowed the ninth-most FanDuel points per game to wide receivers in 2022. Watson is a volatile but enticing punt in tournaments this week.
Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.