4 NFL FanDuel Studs to Target in Week 10
Spending your available salary in any DFS lineup on a stud can make or break your lineup. These high salary players will take up the majority of your budget, so it’s critical to carefully consider which ones you’ll want for each slate. Whether it’s trying to capture a safe floor in a cash game or chasing a huge game to help you win a tournament, nailing the expensive players is one of the keys to making winning NFL lineups on FanDuel.
We’re into the double-digit weeks as the NFL regular season flies by. We have a good idea of which players are performing at the highest level, so let’s take a look at which ones we’ll want for the Week 10 main slate.
Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals
FanDuel Salary: $8,800
Projected Points: 24.1
We are seeing 2019 Lamar Jackson-level production from Kyler Murray this season. In Lamar's record-breaking season, he averaged just over 28 FanDuel points per game. Kyler is beating that, averaging over 30 points per game. He already has more rushing touchdowns than Jackson had last season and is on pace to well exceed his output through the air. This week, Murray should be able to continue his fantasy dominance.
The Arizona Cardinals are at home against the Buffalo Bills in a game that should see a lot of points. The total for this game is 56, the highest in Week 10. Taking a look at our daily fantasy matchup heat map, Arizona's implied team total is 29, which is tied for the third-highest on the main slate. Buffalo's defense has not been good this season, as they rank 21st in schedule-adjusted pass defense, according to numberFire's metrics. They've also allowed four rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks, and we know Murray is a huge threat to hurt them in that area.
Murray tops our projections at any position this week, which goes in line with him being the number one player in fantasy football so far this season. Like Jackson last season, he offers a high floor because of his rushing ability. This makes him a worthy spend in all formats, as he is capable of posting fantasy scores that many other quarterbacks cannot match.
Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers
FanDuel Salary: $8,800
Projected Points: 19.2
Aaron Jones missed two games in a row and then was somewhat rushed back for last Thursday's game as his team was thin at the running back position. He didn't have a huge game, but the usage was encouraging with 15 carries and 5 catches. The pass game usage all season has been solid, as Jones has seen at least four targets in every game he's played this season. He's also seen nine red zone targets, which is tied for the third-most among running backs, despite missing two games and having a bye. He'll get a dream matchup this week for all of his fantasy managers.
The Green Bay Packers will face the 1-7 Jacksonville Jaguars at home. Having played on Thursday in Week 9, the Packers will get extra rest this week and are 12.5-point favorites. Green Bay is implied to score a massive 32 points, the most on the week by a wide margin. The Jaguars defense has been giving it up on the ground, as they are 29th in schedule-adjusted defense against the run. They've also allowed the sixth-most FanDuel points per game to running backs, according to Pro Football Reference.
Jones is our highest-projected running back on the week and also is second in the value rating despite the high salary. Jones has been known as a great play in tournaments in the past due to his eruption games, but with his work in the passing game, he's viable in cash games as well.
Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
FanDuel Salary: $9,500
Projected Points: 17.2
We've talked about Davante Adams a few times as a stud to target, and he's been so good that we have to go back to him again. He's the WR3, despite missing two games. On a per-game basis, Adams is averaging 23.7, well ahead of D.K. Metcalf, whose 18.3 ranks second in half-PPR scoring. Davante has been on an insane tear over the last three weeks, with 30 catches, 422 yards, and 6 touchdowns. He'll have a great chance to keep that going this week.
We know the Packers have a great matchup against Jacksonville this week. As bad as the Jaguars have been against the run, they've been even worse against the pass. They sit in 30th in schedule-adjusted pass defense. Normally, it's somewhat risky to roster a running back and a wide receiver from the same team as they have the possibility of eating into each other's fantasy production. In this situation, it should be fine, given how many points the Packers could score. It's also good that the offense tends to go through these two players, as Adams has a league-leading 34% target share.
Adams is tied for the highest projection at the wide receiver position this week. With how Adams has performed over the past three games, it's difficult to see others at the position being able to match the production with the matchup he has this week.
Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders
FanDuel Salary: $7,000
Projected Points: 12.4
With Travis Kelce on a bye, it's going to be a tough week at tight end. We can look to Darren Waller, who gets some of the most consistent volume at the position. Waller has seen at least five targets in all but one game this season, which is rare for a tight end. In fact, his target share at 29% is the highest among tight ends. With that kind of volume, Waller is a decent play every week, and that's especially true this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders are taking on the division-rival Denver Broncos. The Raiders' offense has surprised a lot of people this season, as their schedule-adjusted offense is the seventh-best in the NFL. This week, they have an implied team total of 29 points, tied for the third-most. The Broncos have been a decent pass defense this season but they did allow Hayden Hurst to get 7 receptions for 62 yards in their Week 9 loss.
Something boosting Waller's fantasy value this season in his usage in the red zone. He's already seen 15 red zone targets this season, tied for the most at his position. Last season, he only saw 11 red zone targets for the entire year. If the Raiders are scoring close to their implied total this week, Waller has a decent chance of scoring a touchdown.
Waller is completely lapping the field in numberFire's projections at tight end. He's up to 12.4, while the closest player to him is Austin Hooper, at just 8.9. With Waller being just $7,000, he should be affordable and is worth paying for, given the lack of other good options at the position this week.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.