4 NFL DraftKings Values for Week 2
Fantasy value doesn't have one concrete meaning. In season-long leagues, one might say that value is dictated by a player's total or weekly output versus their average draft position. In daily leagues, most players are measuring value by a player's output per $1,000 in salary -- in other words, the bang you get for your buck.
Finding cheap players in high-scoring games or with big matchup upside is pivotal to paying up for high-priced players such as Patrick Mahomes and Christian McCaffrey. The combination of the two is what can drive tournament-winning lineups or ones that will help you cash (in 50/50s, etc.) on a consistent basis.
Everyone has their own idea of where the salary cutoff for a value player is. It can depend on position, situation, or even site. For DraftKings, this article looks at quarterbacks who are priced under $6,000, running backs and wide receivers priced under $5,000, and tight ends priced under $4,000.
Some value plays will be obvious and might be rostered in a high percentage of lineups, while others will be more off-the-radar which could differentiate you from other lineups. We're here to parse through the data and information to find both types of low-cost-high-reward plays on a weekly basis.
Let's see who you should be fitting into your Week 2 lineups.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans
DraftKings Price: $5,900
Projected Points: 17.8
Projected Value (points per $1,000): 3.01
This week at quarterback, there are a number of viable options around this same price range. However, it's hard to argue with Ryan Tannehill's upside as he and the Tennessee Titans host the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Without a doubt, the Jaguars were a feel-good story in their opener, notching an upset win over the divisional foe Indianapolis Colts. But the thing is, Philip Rivers and the gang still tallied 445 total yard, of which 363 came via the pass. Rivers ended the day with a 300-yard game and 19.8 DraftKings points despite a pair of interceptions. After all was said and done, Jacksonville ended the week 18th in our Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play metric.
We know that the Titans want to first establish the run with Derrick Henry, but even in Monday night's low-scoring win Tannehill dropped back 44 times and played his way to 19.4 DK points at his $5,700 price tag. It's possible that our projection is a bit conservative when you consider his Week 1 production and a pretty nice 25.25 implied total.
Adrian Peterson, RB, Detroit Lions
DraftKings Price: $4,700
Projected Points: 7.4
Projected Value: 1.57
If you are left with around $5,000 at either your running back or flex spot, keep in mind that the masses will more than likely flock to Benny Snell Jr. in the event James Conner sits. And that's fine, especially in cash games, but if you are looking to differentiate yourself Adrian Peterson possesses a similar upside even if it is accompanied by a lower floor -- the result of a timeshare with D'Andre Swift in the Detroit backfield.
The reason we concern ourselves with only Swift? Kerryon Johnson saw a mere seven carries for 14 yards in the opener, while the 35-year-old Peterson took 14 of the Lions' 24 running back attempts, and turned them into 93 yards. To add even more to his appeal, AP hauled in all three of his targets for 21 yards, having out-produced Swift in his area of specialty.
After getting the majority of work and producing with it, Peterson will look to build on it with Green Bay on tap. The Pack didn't allow the biggest of days to the Minnesota Vikings, yet they find themselves dead last in Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play. If Detroit is going to slow down Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams, the run game might be the only way to get it done.
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys
DraftKings Price: $4,700
Projected Points: 12.1
Projected Value: 2.58
CeeDee Lamb's NFL debut went just about as expected for a rookie playing his first game in a season following a shortened training camp. According to Pro Football Reference, the former Oklahoma Sooners star was in on 82% of the Dallas Cowboys' offensive snaps, and he accomplished a good amount in his time on the field, converting 6 targets into 5 catches and 59 yards -- including a 33-yard gain over the middle.
For everything Lamb's production does for his DFS appeal, the season-ending injury to Blake Jarwin might double it. Though Lamb already played the majority of snaps as a go-to in the slot, he could be relied on even more heavily with the Cowboys working down to lesser options at tight end. We could see Lamb consistently in on 90 to 90% of snaps going forward. And you don't need me to tell you that that's a good thing.
As if we needed any more incentive to roster Lamb the Week 2 matchup is great, as well. The Atlanta Falcons, after being lit up by Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett, and D.K. Metcalf, are 31st in our rankings against the pass, and the Cowboys' implied total is among the top three on the board. Lamb could be in for a monster day in a shootout.
Hayden Hurst, TE, Atlanta Falcons
DraftKings Price: $4,600
Projected Points: 10.6
Projected Value: 2.31
Speaking of those Falcons, although their defense surrendered yards, points, and DK points in bunches, their offense managed to keep within distance and finish with 25 points of their own. Matt Ryan threw the ball 54 times for 450 yards and 2 touchdowns. The only guy who didn't seem to benefit? Hayden Hurst.
The new Falcons tight end watched a trio of receivers enjoy nice fantasy days while he garnered five targets and three catches. Still, Hurst burst out for a 27-yard gain and, according to Pro Football Focus, ran the most routes (48) of any tight end.
Again, this game environment bodes well for all involved -- and that goes for a sub-$5K tight end, too. We project Hurst as the seventh-best point-per-dollar play, though he could easily surpass 15 DK points with a touchdown or two.
Brett Oswalt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Brett Oswalt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username BRO14THEKID. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.