FanDuel Single-Game Fantasy Football Helper: Week 11 Sunday Night
With the FanDuel main slate ending after the afternoon games, single-game slates allow DFS enthusiasts to stay involved through the evening. For those unfamiliar, single-game slates feature five flex spots with identical scoring to the main slate. However, kickers are included in these contests and there is an "MVP" roster slot. The MVP receives 1.5-times his total fantasy points, making this spot crucial.
Bookmakers currently peg the Bears as 2.5-point favorites, with the over/under sitting right at 44.0 points. Despite the low-scoring projection, this should be a great matchup as each of these teams rank inside the top 10 in our nERD-based power rankings. Here are a few of tonight's top plays and "MVP" considerations.
Kirk Cousins ($15,000): With quarterbacks always a strong consideration for the MVP slot, Kirk Cousins deserves a long look this week. He is not only cheaper than Mitchell Trubisky ($16,000), but Cousins should come in at lower ownership. The Bears have played phenomenal defense this year, but they've shown pass-funnel tendencies, ranking 13th against the pass and 2nd against the run, according to our schedule-adjusted metrics. This plays right into Cousins' and the Minnesota's favor, with the Vikings ranking 31st in run offense and 10th in pass offense. Averaging slightly more than 40 pass attempts per game, Cousins remains a solid bet to finish as tonight's top overall scorer.
Stefon Diggs ($12,500): Returning from his rib injury, Stefon Diggs enters this contest priced well below Adam Thielen ($16,000). While Thielen has deservedly received most of the attention this year, Diggs has quietly played a massive role in the Vikings' offense, averaging 10.63 targets per game and having less than 10 targets in a game just twice this season. Mentioned above, the Bears' pass defense remains their biggest weakness on that side of the ball, and they recently allowed Josh Gordon and Albert Wilson to eclipse 100 yards. Playing only one team with a winning record to this point, the Bears' defense could be more vulnerable than it appears.
Tarik Cohen ($12,000): Unfortunately for the Bears, the Vikings appear healthier on the defensive side of the ball coming out of their bye, likely returning Xavier Rhodes and Anthony Barr. The Vikings have allowed the 7th-fewest rushing yards (667) but the 11th-most receiving yards to backs. This bodes well for Tarik Cohen as the Bears' primary receiving back. Cohen has dominated work in close games for the Bears and averaged 6.6 targets per game throughout the season. With a projected close game on tap, Cohen figures to function as the Bears' primary back.
Dalvin Cook ($11,500): Returning from a hamstring injury prior to the bye, Dalvin Cook took 14 touches for 109 yards while being in on 57% of the Vikings' snaps. Two more weeks removed from the injury, Cooks' workload should only grow. However, he's set to face the league's second-best run defense, and Cook will need volume in this spot to pay off. Luckily for Cook, the Vikings return Riley Reiff and Tom Compton on the offensive line, giving him a shot to produce in this matchup. Cook offers salary savings and shouldn't see gobs of ownership, making him a contrarian captain play.
Anthony Miller ($10,000): In a promising rookie campaign, Anthony Miller has stepped in as Chicago's number-two wide receiver in recent weeks. Miller has played more than 70% of the Bears' snaps in each of the last three weeks, averaging 6.3 targets per game in that span. Operating as the Bears' primary slot receiver, Miller should draw a favorable matchup against Mackensie Alexander, who has allowed 82% of the targets thrown his way to be completed. Miller can be fired up safely against Minnesota, and Xavier Rhodes' coverage on Allen Robinson could push more targets Miller's way.
Trey Burton ($9,500): While Trey Burton has seen more than six targets only once this season, he must be considered on single-game slates like this. Despite the low volume, Burton has scored 5 touchdowns this season on 10 red-zone targets. The Vikings have played average tight end defense to this point, but they allowed Jimmy Graham, George Kittle, and Zach Ertz to eclipse 90 yards receiving. Operating as Chicago's primary red-zone weapon in the pass game, Burton is in play.
Taylor Gabriel ($7,500): Entering dart-throwing territory, we arrive at a few of the week's fringe plays. Let's start with the ever-volatile Taylor Gabriel. Gabriel comes with massive salary savings, but he has six games below 50 yards receiving, compared to just two games with more than 100 yards. Gabriel has averaged just 4.6 targets per game since the Bears' bye, but he has the highest average depth of target (13.2) among Chicago receivers with at least 40 targets. Gabriel provides the requisite upside to take down a large-field tournament, but he also comes with week-ruining floor.
Laquon Treadwell ($6,500): Lastly, Laquon Treadwell rounds out this week's value plays. Locked in as Minnesota's number three receiver, Treadwell has played on at least 63% of Minnesota's snaps in each of the last three games. While Treadwell received only 10 combined targets in those games, rostering him is tossing a dart at a touchdown, which, if it happened, would more than pay off his cheap salary. Sure to carry low ownership, Treadwell should differentiate lineups and allow enough savings to target multiple studs at the top.
Matthew Gajewski is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Matthew Gajewski also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mgajewski. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel