5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 15
Almost without variation, my strategy in daily fantasy football tournaments this year has been the same: spend down at quarterback so that you can pay up at wide receiver.
This has been a fairly simple creed to which I could adhere as some of those high-priced stud wideouts have gone bonkers, while low-priced quarterbacks have also occasionally found success. When you can find relatively safe ways to acquire more upside, everything else can fall into place rather nicely. This allows you to develop a strategy with which you are comfortable using week after week.
Week 15 finna stomp the daylights out of your comfort, fam.
The low-priced quarterbacks are in tough matchups. If you want any semblance of a floor, you had best be looking to pay up at the position.
None of the high-priced wide receivers are in easy spots. The one exception there would be Julio Jones, and his quarterback has decided that scoring in the red zone is no longer fetch. You can use those top-tier guys, but they don't have the same blend of floor and ceiling they usually bring.
Basically, this week is a lit match short of a dumpster fire. One wrong move with your roster construction, and the whole thing's going up in flames.
Because of this, we're going to need some flexibility when filling out our rosters. The five matchups here should be able to help get you part of the way there. Whether it's finding upside in a running back or looking at tight ends to save you some salary, there are ways we can mold this slate into something more palatable.
We'll try to do this using numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP). NEP is the metric we use to measure the efficiency of both teams and players, with the team totals being adjusted based on strength of schedule.
If you're new to the site, here's how NEP works. Prior to each play, there is an expected number of points that an offense will score on its current drive. A positive play (such as a three-yard rush on 3rd and 2) will increase that, resulting in positive NEP. A negative play (such as a three-yard rush on 3rd and 4) will decrease that, resulting in negative NEP. The fluctuation of those expected points over the course of the season is a team or player's NEP.
Let's take a look at which offenses these numbers say are set up in spots to succeed while also giving you some much-needed flexibility in Week 15.