10 Fantasy Football Bust Candidates for 2018

Kenyan Drake, RB, Miami Dolphins

Average Draft Position: 4.06, RB21, 43rd Overall

We saw Kenyan Drake thrive after the Eagles traded Jay Ajayi in 2017. Last year, Drake was the RB8 in PPR scoring from Weeks 8 through 16, via FantasyPros. Again, this seems like a case where we could be buying low on that type of production.

The problem? There are a few.

First, Drake had topped out at 106 single-season touches in his four-year college career at Alabama. In his two seasons with the Miami Dolphins, he had 55 and 172 touches. This isn't to say that he can't handle a bigger workload, but last season, he topped 15 touches just four times: 17, 22, 26, and 30. Is that the exception or the norm? Drake did add weight to his frame this offseason, for what it's worth.

Second, he may not be granted a massive workload even if he could handle it. Free agent addition Frank Gore is getting love and apparently looks like his usual self. Fourth-round rookie Kalen Ballage also has had positive reviews.

Third, the Dolphins' win total is 6.5, with juice on the under. That means bookmakers are expecting the Dolphins to be a sub-.500 team. Over the past five seasons, just 33 of 120 (27.5%) top-24 PPR backs came from teams with 6 or fewer wins. Only 20 (16.7%) came from teams with 5 or fewer wins.

Banking on Drake means banking on the Dolphins to exceed expectations and/or having Drake handle the bulk of the workload in Miami. Just know that if you make him your RB2.