College Football Conference Championship Bets and Win Totals: Big 12 Conference
College football season is nearly upon us, and there are plenty of NCAA football odds and outrights on FanDuel Sportsbook we can explore.
Last year's Big 12 title game came down to a goal-line stand. Baylor ended Oklahoma State's bid for a spot in the College Football Playoff, but it was even more shocking that Oklahoma collapsed to miss the game altogether. With major realignment expected in 2023, who will end this era as the conference's final champion?
Here's how the conference winner odds shake out for this year overall.
Conference Winner(s) to Bet
Texas Longhorns (+300)
As the win totals indicate, this is a wide-open conference. Oklahoma's 34.5% implied odds at +190 to win the division are simply too short.
The 25.0% implied mark for Texas is more realistic. The Longhorns snagged Quinn Ewers from Ohio State, and they'll have him or Hudson Card to choose from throughout the season.
The offense wasn't the issue for Texas in 2021, and it won't be in 2022. They're returning stud running back Bijan Robinson and both of their top targets (Xavier Worthy and Jordyn Whittington) to support their young slingers.
Curiously, Texas is 47th in projected defensive SP+, per ESPN. They were 96th in total defense last year, so that type of leap would easily vault them to the top of a weaker conference.
Kansas State Wildcats (+1200)
If any of the longshots are going to make a run at the overall title, K-State is as well-positioned as it gets.
Nebraska transfer Adrian Martinez is a natural fit in the run-heavy Wildcats attack. The 22-year-old is arguably the most experienced dual-threat quarterback in the country. He'll also have the luxury of handing off to one of the nation's best backs. Junior Deuce Vaughn carried the offense with 22 total touchdowns in 2021.
Because of their philosophy, Kansas State is never built to win shootouts, but they're 36th in projected defensive SP+. If they can pair a top-40 defense in the nation with Martinez and Vaughn, they can grind out games in this conference that's lost a lot of its dynamic offensive players.
Win Total(s) to Target
Texas Christian Horned Frogs Over 6.5 Wins (-150)
If there's another team with a supremely high ceiling compared to perception now, it's TCU.
They've brought over Sonny Dykes from Cal, and Dykes is an offensive wizard who was significantly outmanned in terms of personnel in Berkley. He'll be anything but at TCU with both Max Duggan and Chandler Morris now having their moments at quarterback in prior years.
On top of Quentin Johnson out wide, they'll still have Kendre Miller from their dynamic running back duo last season. Zach Evans is now in Mississippi, though.
The Horned Frogs are projected for 12th in offensive SP+, but their defense ranks just 85th in that category. They'll be comfortably favored in six games, including their season debut in Boulder against the Buffaloes. Their swing seventh game is against Iowa State to round out the year, but the Cyclones' talent drain -- including Breece Hall -- will make that a winnable one at home.
West Virginia Mountaineers Under 5.5 Wins (+110)
Other than transfer quarterback J.T. Daniels from the reigning national champion Georgia Bulldogs, it's hard to believe West Virginia makes much noise this year.
They're ranked outside the top-70 spots in both offensive and defensive SP+ entering the year. While Daniels has arrived, the team still doesn't have a noted playmaker outside, and they lost top back Leddie Brown to the NFL Draft.
While their offensive line should be above average for the conference, they got a poor break on this year's schedule. Some of the more winnable games of the season for them -- like Iowa State, Texas Tech, and Virginia Tech -- are all on the road.
They should be underdogs for up to nine games this year as a result, which means there is great value on plus money that they'll lose at least seven of those contests.