3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 3/17/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
CJ McCollum Over 6.5 Assists (+100)
The New Orleans Pelicans are visiting the Houston Rockets where the over/under is 228.0 points, and this game has plenty of props to consider.
Both teams are in the league's top 15 in offensive pace this season, and it won't be a surprise to see some back-and-forth scoring in this game. We want to find a player prop that correlates with that potential game script, and that leads us to C.J. McCollum with over 6.5 assists at even money.
The starting point guard for the Pelicans has been over this 6.5 mark in three of his last five games, with his two most recent outings up at 9 and 11 assists. He's the primary distributor on offense for the Pelicans, and we should see that on full display tonight given the favorable matchup.
The Rockets have struggled all season on defense and are allowing 9.35 assists per game to opposing point guards, which is the second-worst in the league. A strong role, good consistency, and a favorable matchup should push McCollum over his prop tonight.
Jaren Jackson Over 7.5 Rebounds (-113)
With a juicy 234.5-point over/under, the Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs matchup is a spot to target tonight.
While the Spurs have a rich history of being a solid defensive team under coach Gregg Popovich, this season couldn't be further from that. They are allowing a league-worst 122.1 points per game to their opponents and provide no resistance of any kind.
They are particularly weak against opposing big men, which presents Jaren Jackson Jr. with a great matchup. When it comes to opposing power forwards, the Spurs are allowing the second-most (10.96) rebounds per game to them.
That will play right into the hands of Jackson, who has been over his 7.5 mark in three of his last five games.
A high-scoring and high-paced matchup will offer plenty of chances for Jackson to pile up the rebounds.
Jusuf Nurkic Under 8.5 Rebounds (-115)
Finally, let's look at Jusuf Nurkic and under 8.5 rebounds tonight.
Nurkic has been dealing with injuries for most of the season and recently returned to action in what is clearly a limited role. He's been back on the court in the last four games but has only played 17, 25, 10, and 28 minutes. A limited role puts him in a very tough spot when it comes to piling up the stats and should lead us to unders.
In these recent four games, Nurkic has been over this prop only one time, which is not the level of consistency we are looking for. The matchup isn't an ideal one, either, as both the Boston Celtics and the Portland Trail Blazers are in the bottom half of the league in offensive pace.
This is shaping up to be a slower-paced game. Combine that with the limited minutes for Nurkic, and it leads to under 8.5 rebounds tonight.