NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 3/6/23

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Mar 6th, 2023

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 19.5 Points (-115)

Tyrese Haliburton has poured in 32 and 29 points over his past two games. Despite that, there are reasons to like the under on his points prop today.

A matchup with the Philadelphia 76ers is a big reason why. Philly is tough on point guards, and they have been all year long. The Sixers are limiting the point-guard position to 22.5 points per night, the third-fewest, and they give up the eighth-fewest shots per night to floor generals (18.8).

We've seen that play out on Haliburton's two previous meetings with the 76ers this season as he's averaged only 12.5 shots per night over the two games. He netted 16 points in the most recent matchup and 19 points in the earlier one, but he needed a hot shooting night -- 7 for 11 from the floor, including 3 of 6 from deep -- to get those 19 points.

Lastly, Philadelphia (26th in pace) is a huge pace-down spot for Indiana (10th).

Our model projects Haliburton to record 17.4 points on Monday night.

Jerami Grant Over 2.5 Assists (-134)

Jerami Grant has a delightful matchup with the Detroit Pistons, and that has me on the over on his assists prop.

Grant has gone over 2.5 assists in four straight games, including a seven-assist outing last night versus the Orlando Magic. He's seeing massive minutes, too, playing at least 36 minutes in 9 of his last 10 games.

The Pistons are 12th in pace and 28th in defensive rating, so their games are usually over-friendly environments for props. They have permitted the fourth-most assists per night to small forwards over the past 15 games (4.5).

There's not a ton of blowout risk here, either, as the Portland Trail Blazers -- who are on the second leg of a road back-to-back -- are just 5.5-point favorites.

We project Grant for 3.2 assists.