3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 2/23/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
De'Anthony Melton Over 1.5 Made Threes (-115)
De'Anthony Melton is taking on the Memphis Grizzlies, and Memphis has been giving up a lot of three-point tries of late.
Across their last 15 games, the Grizzlies are surrendering a three-point attempt rate of 41.0%, the fourth-highest in that span. The shooting-guard position is getting off 9.0 three-point shots per game against Memphis this season, the 13th-most.
Melton went into the break having hit multiple treys in four of his last seven games. Our model forecasts him to do so again tonight as we project Melton to go 2.1 of 5.5 from deep.
Paolo Banchero Under 7.5 Rebounds (-115)
Paolo Banchero's rebounding totals have been all over the place lately. Over the past five games, he's pulled down 1, 4, 13, 10 and 8 rebounds.
His rebounds prop continues to be set at 7.5 most nights. We hit on an under with him when he snagged four rebounds on February 13th, and our projections like the under once more.
Banchero is averaging 6.6 rebounds per game, and he's put up 7.0 rebounds per game in two meetings with the Detroit Pistons, his opposition tonight.
We project Banchero to finish with 6.3 rebounds, and the under looks like the side to be on.
Josh Green Over 3.5 Rebounds (+114)
This is a plus-money prop I can get behind.
Josh Green has been moved into a starting role for the new-look Dallas Mavericks, starting in seven consecutive games. Over that seven-game span, he's averaging 3.9 rebounds per night. He's gone for at least four boards in three games in that stretch and has at least three rebounds in five of the seven contests.
When sharing the floor with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, Green has totaled 3.8 rebounds per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ.
Green is facing a San Antonio Spurs team that allows the sixth-most rebounds per game to shooting guards (5.5).
Our algorithm has Green totaling 4.3 rebounds on Thursday. As long as this doesn't get too lopsided too early -- which is a fare concern given the 14.0-point spread -- I love this over.