3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 1/25/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Gary Harris Over 7.5 Points (-118)
Gary Harris doesn't do much scoring for the Orlando Magic, but I like his chances of getting at least eight points tonight.
The Magic are at home against the Indiana Pacers. Indiana is just 20th in defensive rating and plays at the 5th-fastest pace. That makes them a big pace-up spot for Orlando, a team that is only 19th in pace. And it can't hurt things that the Pacers are on the second leg of a back-to-back and had to travel from Indiana to Orlando overnight.
On top of all that, the Pacers have been mauled by two-guards this season, permitting 26.0 points per game to the position, the third-most. Harris poured in 18 points the first time he faced Indiana this campaign, although that was a ways back (November 21st).
We project Harris to score 9.2 points on Wednesday.
Kyrie Irving Under 29.5 Points (-115)
Kyrie Irving has been cooking in his past two outings, dropping in 38 and 48 points in red-hot shooting efforts. Overall, he's gone for at least 30 points in three consecutive games.
But there are reasons to back the under on his points prop today.
In the 38- and 48-point nights, Kyrie shot incredibly well, hitting 58.8% of his field-goal attempts, including 59.1% from three. He's not going to keep shooting that well. For the year, he's made 47.1% of his shots and 39.1% of his three-point tries.
Prior to the past three games, Irving had gone for 28 or fewer points in seven of the previous eight games, with the one exception being an output of 29 points.
The matchup today is a tough one for him. He's up against the Philadelphia 76ers, a team that has limited point guards to 21.7 points per night, the fewest in the NBA. Both Philly and the Brooklyn Nets are in the bottom 11 in pace.
Our model has Irving projected for 28.3 points. While it's scary to take the under after Kyrie's past two games, that's the side I'm going to be on.
Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Made Threes (-130)
The headline matchup of the night is in the Bay Area as the Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies. The game has a 245.0-point total and 3.5-point spread. Both teams are in the top three in pace. We should see a lot of possessions and a lot of scoring.
That's part of the reason I'm on the over on Klay Thompson's made threes prop. The other part is the Grizzlies' three-point D.
Memphis is a top-notch defense -- first in defensive rating -- but they give up their fair share of three-point tries. For the season, Memphis is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 40.5%, the eighth-highest. Shooting guards have taken 9.1 three-pointers per night against the Grizz, the ninth-most.
Klay has drilled at least four triples in three of his last five games, and although he made just three in his lone meeting with the Grizzlies this season, he attempted 12 treys in that affair, which is a positive sign.
We have Thompson going 4.1 for 10.6 from beyond the arc tonight.