3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/17/23

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Royce O'Neale Under 1.5 Made Threes (+158)

The San Antonio Spurs are not a good team, and they're not a good defense -- but they do a nice job preventing three-point shots. That has me on the under on Royce O'Neale's made triples.

For the season, San Antonio is allowing a three-point attempt rate of 35.5%, the third-lowest. The small forward position is taking only 7.0 three-point tries per game against the Spurs, which is tied for the third-fewest.

The absence of Kevin Durant doesn't really impact O'Neale's three-point volume. With KD off the court this year, O'Neale is averaging just 0.03 more made threes per night, according to CourtIQ.

With the Brooklyn Nets implied to score 119.0 points today, they're in a nice spot, and our model has O'Neale pegged to make 2.1 threes on 5.4 attempts. However, I think the under has a better chance than the pricing on this prop -- +158 on the under and -205 on the over -- indicates. That pushes me toward the under, and I think it's worth a roll of the dice.

Nic Claxton Over 14.5 Points (-102)

An area where the aforementioned Spurs struggle defensively is against centers as San Antonio has given up the second-most points per night to the position (23.9).

Enter Nic Claxton.

The Nets' pivot has averaged 15.3 points per 36 minutes with Durant off the floor this campaign, and his usage rate in the split rises 2.8 percentage points. Claxton has logged at least 30 minutes in five consecutive outings.

Facing a similarly bad Oklahoma City Thunder interior in his last game, Claxton poured in 17 points across 33 minutes.

In a game with a 5.5-point spread, Claxton should get his minutes, and he can deliver in this soft matchup. We project him to net 15.3 points.

Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+120)

Our model projects Nikola Jokic to have a triple-double today versus the Portland Trail Blazers as we peg him to generate 26.8 points, 11.9 boards and 10.1 assists.

The assists figure to be the biggest hurdle en route to a Jokic trip-doub. The matchup should help. The Blazers have surrendered the eighth-most assists per game to centers (3.8), although Jokic is so different from most centers that I'm not sure how much that stat actually matters.

Jokic has a triple-double in three of the last four games, and in the one exception, he missed it by one assist. In three previous matchups with Portland this year, the MVP is averaging 23.7 points, 9.0 rebounds and 9.7 dimes, so he's been right there.

This game has a juicy 238.0-point total and 6.5-point spread, so things set up very well for Jokic to have another huge night.

You could also take Jokic to triple-double and the Denver Nuggets to win, which is priced at +182. Denver is -255 on the moneyline. That implies win odds of 71.8%. Our algorithm has the Nuggets winning 74.4% of the time.