3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/13/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Onyeka Okongwu Over 10.5 Points (+118)
That leads me to Onyeka Okongwu's points prop.
Okongwu can have success versus an Indiana interior defense that has been tagged for 22.1 points per game by the center position, the 10th-most.
Okongwu has played at least 28 minutes in five straight, including 33 and 34 minutes in the last two, so that shouldn't be an issue.
We project him to get 33 minutes today, and we have Okongwu scoring 12.5 points. Given the +118 price, this is a great prop to zero in on.
Mike Conley Over 1.5 Made Threes (-128)
For the season, the Magic are surrendering a three-point attempt rate of 43.3%, the second-highest. Point guards are taking 8.8 three-pointers per night versus Orlando. The Magic sit sixth-worst in defensive rating.
Jalen Brunson Under 24.5 Points (-112)
But I'm going back to the well with Brunson tonight because I think the process was sound on that Wednesday bet.
RJ Barrett is back, and Barrett's return will eventually lead to fewer shots for Brunson, even if that didn't play out on Wednesday.
When Barrett is off the court this season, Brunson has a 31.8% usage rate and pours in 28.0 points per 36 minutes, via CourtIQ. Coming into the previous game, Brunson owned a 25.8% usage rate and scored just 21.8 points per 36 when sharing the court with Barrett.
Before Wednesday, Brunson's recent hot stretch had come with Barrett out. With Barrett back, Brunson's usage is bound to drop at some point, and it could happen tonight in a matchup with a Washington Wizards squad that has allowed the seventh-fewest points per game to point guards (23.7).
We have Brunson scoring 22.2 points against the Wiz.