3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 12/21/22
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mortiz Wagner Over 1.5 Made Threes (+144)
Wagner has been starting at center, and he's logged at least 29 minutes in three of the Orlando Magic's last four games. He's shooting an uncharacteristically bad 26.5% from three this year. He's never been a great three-point shooter, but he hasn't been this bad.
For his career, he's making 31.5% from deep, and Wagner hit threes at a 32.8% rate a year ago. DARKO projects him to hit 34.3% from beyond the arc.
Due for positive regression from deep and in a matchup where volume shouldn't be an issue, Moritz projects to go 1.8 for 5.7 from three, per our model. That's not quite 2.0, but with the over at +144, it's the side to be on.
Julius Randle Under 9.5 Rebounds (-128)
Julius Randle has snagged at least 12 rebounds in six straight games. That sounds like we should back the over, but there are reasons the line is at 9.5 (with -128 juice on the under).
Prior to his recent four-game rebounding run, Randle had finished with nine or fewer rebounds in six of seven games. He's averaging 9.2 rebounds per night for the season.
Our model projects Randle to pull down 9.4 rebounds. It should be close, but I like the under.
LaMelo Ball Under 21.5 Points (-108)
LaMelo Ball has been really good since coming back from injury. He's actually gone over 21.5 points in all four of his games. However, there are reasons to take the under.
The matchup is one. The Charlotte Hornets are on the road at the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clips have been tough on point guards this season, holding the position to 22.9 points per night, the sixth-fewest.
On top of that, in his four games since returning, Ball has shot unsustainably well. He's making 48.7% from the field, including 46.7% from three. For his career, he's shooting 43.3% overall and 38.0% from three-point land. DARKO projects him to knock down just 36.2% of his threes.
There are two Ball unders I like -- this points prop and his made threes (3.5; -125 on the under). We project him to score 20.9 points and make 3.1 triples.