3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wedesday 3/16/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+155)
Nikola Jokic has a soft matchup against the Washington Wizards.
The Wiz have surrendered the fifth-most points (24.5), seventh-most boards (16.1) and seventh-most assists (4.0) to centers this season. They have the third-worst defensive rating across the last five games, and the game's 6.5-point spread means Jokic should get his full minutes.
As long as that happens, Jokic has a good shot to notch a triple-double.
Our model projects him for 26.5 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.2 assists. Assists figure to be the toughest leg. Jokic had 28 points, 19 rebounds and 9 assists in his only other meeting with Washington this season, and he's averaging 9.2 dimes per game over his last six.
At a +155 price, this bet is pretty appealing.
Reggie Jackson Under 19.5 Points (-112)
Over the last 15 games, the Toronto Raptors are limiting point guards to 20.4 points per game, the fewest in the league, and that's who Reggie Jackson squares off with on Wednesday.
Jackson has been all over the place with his scoring of late, producing two games of 31-plus points in his past six but also recording two games of 10 or fewer points in that span.
In his last 12 games, Jackson has scored 20-plus points just four times. With Jackson in a tough matchup, I lean toward the Los Angeles Clippers' guard netting 19 or fewer points once more.
Our model does, too. Although it's close, we peg him for 19.0 points.
Kevon Looney Under 6.5 Points (-130)
Kevon Looney is averaging 6.3 points per game for the campaign, and he's scored six combined points across his past two games despite playing 23 minutes in each.
Looney has a barely-there usage rate in any floor situation, and the return of Draymond Green hurts Looney's scoring outlook even more as Looney's usage rate when sharing the court with Green is only 13.1%.
A matchup with the Boston Celtics doesn't help, either. Boston has permitted just 18.6 points per game to centers over the last 15 games. That's the fewest in the league by roughly 1.5 points.
Our model forecasts Looney to total 5.8 points tonight.
