NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 9/11/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measure a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Kawhi Leonard, Over 30.5 Points (-102)
Kawhi Leonard is averaging just 23.8 points per game in this series, but those numbers are skewed slightly because of a 13-point outing in Game 2. Leonard has averaged 27.3 points per game in the three other games, recording 23, 29, and 30 points in them. In a closeout game for the Clippers, Leonard will likely be the most lethal player on the court. In the first round, Leonard scored 33 points in the closeout Game 6 versus the Mavericks, and in the 2018-19 postseason, he scored 27, 29, 41, 27, and 22 points in closeout games.
He's averaging 18.5 field goal attempts in the semifinals, including 20.5 in the last two games. Leonard's only negative is he's visiting the free-throw line just 6.3 times per game in this series, compared to 9.2 in the first round. That's still a healthy chunk, and despite his 4-of-17 (23.5%) shooting performance in Game 2, he's made 45% or more of his field-goal attempts in each of the other three games.
In the 2019-20 postseason, Leonard is averaging 30.5 points in the four games in which he's played 40 or more minutes, and he's gone over the 30-point mark in three of those games. Leonard played 39 minutes in Game 4, 40 in Game 3, and 39 in Game 2. The Clippers won two of those games, and in the seven postseason wins for the Clippers this year, Leonard's averaged 30.2 points per game.
Kyle Lowry, Over 20.5 Points (-134)
Kyle Lowry is the heart and soul of the Toronto Raptors, which was evident in Game 6. He willed them to victory again, playing 53 minutes and netting a game-high 33 points from the field, including the game-winner down the stretch, which put the outcome in stone. Lowry has averaged 21.5 points per game in this series, scoring 22 or more three times and 17 or fewer three times.
In 10 meetings with the Celtics over the 2019-20 regular-season and postseason, Lowry has scored 22 or more in five games and played at least 40 minutes in five games. When Lowry logged 40 or more minutes in the regular season, he averaged 21.3 points per game. In his last four Game 7s, Lowry is averaging 21.0 points per game dating back to 2014, and if the Raptors are going to advance, Lowry will likely need another big scoring night.