3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 2/21/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Zion Williamson, Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Zion Williamson has played only 10 games in the NBA, yet he's still being mentioned as a contender to win Rookie of the Year over Ja Morant. That's a testament to Williamson's talent and production more than a shot at Morant -- because he's been phenomenal as well. The New Orleans Pelicans open the second half of their season in Portland for a pivotal game in regards to the playoff hunt. Williamson faced the Blazers before the All-Star break and was a nightmare for Carmelo Anthony and company. He recorded 31 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists while getting to the free-throw line 14 times.
The Blazers remain the worst team in the league defensively versus power forwards, as if Williamson's previous performance didn't prove that. The Blazers rank last in the league for points (24.47) and rebounds (13.00) allowed to the position. In the Blazers' last three games, they've allowed Brandon Clarke to record 27 points, 6 rebounds, and 1 assist, while Bam Adebayo totaled 13 points, 12 rebounds, and 7 assists -- all that in addition to Williamson's monster game. Two of the three covered the 33.5, besides Adebayo, who finished with 32. Both the Pelicans and Blazers rank among the top 11 in pace factor, top 8 in points per game, and top 4 in shot attempts per game heading into this matchup, so we could see an abundance of points. Back the number one overall pick for another all-around game versus Portland.
Jayson Tatum, Over 6.5 Rebounds
Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics visit the Minnesota Timberwolves without Karl-Anthony Towns and Kemba Walker on the floor. We saw Tatum explode for 39 points and 9 rebounds in a win over the Los Angeles Clippers heading into All-Star break. Tatum has been on a rebounding tear despite the attention for his scoring this season. Tatum has totaled seven rebounds or more in five of his last six games, and six of his last nine games overall.
In 23 road games, Tatum is averaging 7.5 rebounds per game, and he's recorded seven or more rebounds in five straight away from Boston. In his last 10 games overall, he's averaging 7.1 rebounds and 7.6 per game in his last 10 road contests. Tatum's usage rating has increased by 6.16% to 29.79% over his last five games, giving assurance that he will be heavily involved -- and numberFire's model backs that. He's projected to record 6.8 rebounds tonight, cutting it close. However, in his last three games without Walker, he recorded seven or more rebounds in two of those.
Bradley Beal, Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers
Bradley Beal and the Washington Wizards' highlight for the season would have been Beal getting an All-Star nod or Davis Bertans winning the three-point contest, but neither of those happened. They welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers in a matchup of two of the most dysfunctional franchises in basketball right now. The Cavs are dealing with a coaching situation that leaves them vulnerable versus a player with Beal's talents. The Wizards attempt the second-most shots per game (91.6), while the Cavs rank 17th in field goal attempts allowed per game (89.4). Beal is averaging 25.3 shot attempts and 7.7 three-pointers in February (six games).
The Cavs rank fifth-worst in made three-pointers to opposing shooting guards (3.45), giving Beal a favorable matchup versus a team he's had success against from deep. Beal sank three or more triples versus Cleveland during both meetings this season -- recording three in the first game and four in the most recent date. During six games in February, Beal is hitting 2.3 threes per game, for a 30.4% rate. Off three or more days of rest, he's hitting 3.1 per game in seven contests. In his last 10 overall, he's averaging 34.9 points per game, 3.1 made threes, and 36.3% from deep. Beal is projected by numberFire's model to make 2.5 three-pointers, but I'll ride with Beal in the first game after the All-Star snub.