3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 1/24/20
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
T.J. Warren, Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers
T.J. Warren hasn't attempted a three-pointer over his past two games, but with Malcolm Brogdon out tonight, he steps into a larger scoring role. In two of the past four games, Warren has led the team in scoring with 25 and 28 points, respectively. He also added another 22-point effort for good measure. It's worth noting that the fourth game was a four-point performance, where he went 2 for 4 (50%) from the field in a blowout loss to the Utah Jazz. Tonight, the Indiana Pacers will travel to take on the Golden State Warriors in the NBA's nightcap.
The Warriors come into this game ranked 29th in opponent field goal percentage (37.7%), 28th in opponent three-pointers made (13.3), and 26th in three-pointers attempted (35.3). They also rank 24th in opponent field goal percentage (47%). Warren has shot 50% or higher in six of his last seven games while attempting 11 or more shots in seven of those contests. Warren is projected to record the fourth-most three-pointers tonight (3.3), according to numberFire's model.
Norman Powell, Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers
Norman Powell and the Toronto Raptors are as hot as they've been all season. Powell has played six games since returning from injury and has made 19 total three-pointers over that stretch -- with an average of 3.2 makes on 6.5 attempts per game (48.7%). Powell has made multiple three-pointers in four of his last six games and attempted five or more in five of six games. The Raptors face the New York Knicks tonight, and New York has a very lackluster defense, to say the least.
The Knicks allow the highest three-point percentage in the NBA (38.6%) and surrender the second-most three-point makes per game in the league (13.5). They allow 35 three-point attempts per game (24th) and currently rank 20th in opponent field goal percentage (46.4%). Powell should have quite a few open looks, and if he gets going early, this could be a halftime cash out. Powell is projected by numberFire's model to hit 2.9 triples tonight, backing the over in the Big Apple.
James Harden, Over 34.5 Points
The Houston Rockets and James Harden have been struggling lately, though Harden seemed to find a bit of a rhythm in his last game after a record-breaking 1 for 17 from deep versus Oklahoma City on Monday. Harden has gotten back to his high-volume free-throw habits, as he's attempting 13.1 free shots over his last nine games. He's hitting 11.2 per game for an 85.6% rate, though he's paired that with just 3.2 made three-pointers on 12.1 attempts (26.6%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 17th in opponent field goal percentage (46.2%) and opponent three-point percentage (35.5%), as well as 21st in opponent free-throw attempts per game (24.5). Harden could use a breakout game to get himself and this team out of a slump, and he started to do so in their win over the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Harden scored 27 points, 13 coming on free-throws, and 6 on three-pointers. In five of his last 10 games, he's scored 10 or more points from the free-throw line. With both teams ranking in the top eight in pace factor, I like Harden to get to the line and have plenty of open transition threes. numberFire projects Harden to be the top-point scorer with 35.9 points tonight, backing the over.