5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 12/13/19
One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays. If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing in one of these lower-priced options into your lineup.
Let's take a look at five players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup.
DeAnthony Melton, PG, Memphis Grizzlies ($4,100)
Over the past few weeks, we have seen Morant sit out four games for the Grizzlies and that frees up some minutes at point guard for both Tyus Jones and De'Anthony Melton. In each of those four games, Jones got the start but didn't play over 30 minutes in any game, leaving plenty for Melton off the bench. Melton took advantage of those minutes, playing 20 or more in each game while posting at least 20 FanDuel points, with three of 29 FanDuel points or more. That's significant production from what is truly their third-string point guard.
Tonight, the Grizzlies are up against the Milwaukee Bucks, where the over/under is set a high 227 points. There should be plenty of fantasy points to be found in this game, as both teams are among the top-six fastest-paced teams in the league.
Jeff Teague, PG, Minnesota Timberwolves ($5,000)
Jeff Teague is coming off 51 FanDuel points and is only $5K tonight.
It should be noted that Teague is listed as questionable against the Los Angeles Clippers, but this is normal for him over the past few seasons, and generally he ends up playing. With a 233-point over/under, this game is high on everyone's list of games to target, and we should see plenty of ownership here. Teague has been coming off the bench in some recent games but is still holding at a 20.5% usage rate while producing 0.99 FanDuel points per minute.
The Clippers have ruled Patrick Beverley out for tonight's game, which makes their defense a bit easier to attack. They are currently allowing 44.0 FanDuel points per game to point guards, a level that should be reachable with no Beverley on the floor. All of this leads to Teague coming in as our eighth-best value play on the slate.
Marquese Chriss, PF, Golden State Warriors ($3,500)
Marquese Chriss is out top overall value play tonight. Let's take a look at why.
The Golden State Warriors look terrible this season and have been hit with a number of injuries, but all that does is open up value in DFS. Draymond Green has been ruled out for tonight's game, while Eric Paschall is listed as doubtful. This leaves the Warriors a bit thin when it comes to their big men, considering Kevon Looney hasn't been playing a ton of minutes after returning from his injury.
Chriss is projected for 26 minutes tonight and set to produce 28 FanDuel points against the Utah Jazz. We have a modest over/under of 210 points, which may limit the overall upside for this game. But that doesn't mean Chriss isn't a good play. In fact, he is a great one, since he is the minimum salary on FanDuel and is in line for close to 30 minutes.
The matchup is also worth attacking, as the Jazz are allowing 44.5 FanDuel points per game to power forwards, which is right at the league average.
Bismack Biyomob, C, Charlotte Hornets ($4,200)
Even with Bismack Biyombo splitting time at center, he is a solid value play tonight.
If you listen to The Daily Iso podcast I host, I consistently talk about attacking two teams via big men, since they are so weak against them. Those two teams are the Charlotte Hornets and the Chicago Bulls, who happen to be playing each other tonight. Biyombo generally doesn't play more than 25 minutes -- right where we have him projected tonight, at 23.98 -- but he's usually effective in that time. With the current starting five for the Hornets, he is posting 1.07 FanDuel points per minute on a 19.5% usage rate.
Those are strong numbers for a player splitting time, and Biyombo should continue being effective against the Bulls, who are allowing 60.5 FanDuel points per game to centers -- dead last in the league.
Derrick Jones, SF, Miami Heat ($4,200)
Derrick Jones Jr. played over 30 minutes in his most recent game -- off the bench.
The Miami Heat have a ton of injuries right now, and that has caused them to use their bench a bit more than usual. That is still the case tonight, and while Jones shouldn't be starting tonight against the Los Angeles Lakers, we still have him projected for 30 minutes and piling up 21.0 FanDuel points. For a role player, he is seeing strong production against a rather tough defense -- the Lakers are only allowing 38.9 FanDuel points per game to small forwards -- but that is fine given his cheaper salary.
At $4.2K, Jones needs exactly 21 FanDuel points in order to reach 5x value tonight. The spread for this game has the Lakers as five-point road favorites, putting the Heat in a spot for a close game. With no real blowout potential, we should see plenty of minutes for Jones and plenty of fantasy production at a modest salary.