3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Thursday 9/1/22
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
As a result of this, the primary method of selecting hitters is to "stack" certain teams in good spots to produce. Most of the top stacks on a given day come with hefty salaries. In addition to that, a vast majority of pitchers with the upside to win tournaments are high-salaried hurlers.
Therefore, crushing your value plays -- whether it be a pitcher unexpectedly piling up strikeouts or a low-salaried batter racking up points -- can be the secret sauce to taking down a tournament.
Which budget options stand out today on FanDuel?
Rich Hill, P, Red Sox ($8,100)
On tonight's three-game main slate, Spencer Strider and Brandon Woodruff figure to soak up the vast majority of draft percentage at pitcher. That's also where I'll go in a lot of my lineups. But If you want to save a little salary, Rich Hill isn't a bad dart throw.
Hill doesn't offer the same floor/ceiling combination that Strider and Woodruff do, but he's still got some juice left in the tank. He flashed that upside in a 64-point masterpiece last time out, and while we obviously can't expect that kind of performance today, he has been pretty solid of late, pitching to a 20.0% strikeout rate and 10.4% swinging-strike rate over his previous 10 starts. He can have some success against the Texas Rangers.
Admittedly, I won't go here much, but our model has Hill pegged for 24.7 FanDuel points and projects him as the third-best point-per-dollar arm. If you are desperate for a low-salary pitcher, Hill is the best option.
Eddie Rosario, OF, Braves ($2,200)
The Braves are hosting Chad Kuhl. The owner of a 5.01 SIERA and 16.6% strikeout rate, Kuhl just isn't a good pitcher. Left-handed hitters have mauled him for a .365 wOBA, 40.1% fly-ball rate and 1.53 dingers per nine. Kuhl has actually allowed a worse wOBA on the road (.386) than at Coors (.323).
Rosario -- who has put up a 43.8% fly-ball rate against righties -- hit eighth last night but was up in the six hole in his two previous starts. No matter where he winds up, he's a valuable salary-saver who still gives you exposure to a Braves attack that boasts a 5.18 implied total, the night's second-best (as of early Thursday). His $2,200 salary is a big help when it comes to trying to jam in Strider or Woodruff.
Franchy Cordero, OF, Red Sox ($2,500)
Otto has mustered a mere 16.9% strikeout rate across 99 2/3 frames en route to an ugly 5.20 SIERA. He surrendered four runs to the Detroit Tigers in his last start. While he's shown some reverse-splits tendencies in 2022, Otto still has a tough time with lefties, and he should be in for a rough one at Fenway.
Franchy Cordero might be the lowest-salaried Boston starter. His season-long numbers aren't too sexy, but he's been red-hot since the break, generating a .379 wOBA and 50.0% fly-ball rate in the second half.
We project Cordero for 10.0 FanDuel points and rate him as the fourth-best point-per-dollar bat among those salaried under $3,000.