3 MLB Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 6/14/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Jake Cronenworth To Hit a Home Run (+430)
We have a loaded 14-game MLB slate tonight and there are a ton of great options to choose from.
This is one of the best slates we've had in a while for home runs. There are a ton of home-run-prone pitchers and there are a ton of great hitters, on top of the fact there's great hitting weather in several stadiums tonight. It's tough to only choose a single hitter to write about for a home run, so here are a few more I'll have some exposure to tonight: Jose Ramirez HR (+330), Adolis Garcia HR (+370), and Ryan Mountcastle HR (+460).
The San Diego Padres have a very strong 5.34 implied run total and are at Wrigley Field. There is some strong wind blowing out, which is a great boost for hitters. Kyle Hendricks will be on the mound for the Chicago Cubs, a pitcher that has struggled with left-handed hitters this season.
Hendricks is allowing a .581 SLG, a .405 wOBA, a 5.45 xFIP, 2.48 HR/9, a 45.8% fly-ball rate, and a 37.0% hard-contact rate to lefties this season. Allowing too many fly balls is always bad, but when you add in the wind at Wrigley Field, it's a recipe for disaster.
We turn to Jake Cronenworth, who comes in with some modest numbers that need a bit more explaining. Overall this season, Cronenworth has a 78 wRC+, a .132 ISO, a .274 wOBA, and a 46.5% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers. Those aren't great numbers and are far lower than what he posted last season.
If we look at his breakdown per month this year, we get a better picture. It was a very slow start to the season for him but in the month of June, Cronenworth has a 127 wRC+, a .229 ISO, and a .348 wOBA versus right-handed pitchers. He's surging right now and getting back to the levels he showed in 2021 -- a 118 wRC+, a .208 ISO, and a .344 wOBA.
His power is back and it's a great matchup for him to show that off.
Noah Syndergaard Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+114)
With plus money on the under, Noah Syndergaard's strikeout prop is worth considering tonight.
Syndergaard is taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers, who come in sporting a 5.22 implied run total (sixth-highest on tonight's slate). With the power the Dodgers have in their lineup, they have the ability to post runs quickly and knock any pitcher out of the game. They come in with a 117 wRC+ (3rd best in the league), a .178 ISO (3rd), a .334 wOBA (2nd), and a 40.0% fly-ball rate (5th) versus right-handed pitchers this season.
I know -- shocking news that the Dodgers have power up and down their lineup.
The Dodgers are also carrying a 21.6% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers, which is 20th in the league. They aren't wasting chances at the plate, and if we combine that with the fact Syndergaard has a very low 15.4% strikeout rate this season, nothing points in the direction of Syndergaard being able to push past 3.5 strikeouts.
George Springer To Record an RBI (+110)
This is a very straightforward spot for George Springer and his RBI prop tonight.
The Toronto Blue Jays put up plenty of runs last night and are in a spot to do that again with their 5.28 implied run total pointing in that direction. They are going up against Jordan Lyles, who is allowing a .331 wOBA, a .414 SLG, a 3.96 xFIP this season. He also holds a low 18.1% strikeout rate versus right-handed hitters.
Springer leads off the Blue Jays and should have plenty of chances to knock in some runners. He is carrying a 136 wRC+, a .241 ISO, a 38.7% fly-ball rate, and a 30.9% hard-contact rate versus right-handed pitchers this season. It's a great matchup for Springer and the rest of the Blue Jays' offense; it's that simple.
I'll also add a little sprinkle on Springer 2+ RBI (+450).