FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 6/12/22

As numberFire's top pitcher, Atlanta's Kyle Wright is an important decision point against the Pirates. Who else is worth examining for Sunday's 10-game slate?

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Justin Verlander ($10,900)

At his highest salary point this season, Houston's veteran has overall been solid through 11 starts, recording a 3.40 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP) and a 27.0% strikeout percentage in 71.2 innings.

While some regression is due at some point when evaluating his unsustainable .216 Batting Average on Balls in Play (career .279) and 91.3% left on-base percentage (career 75.4%), Sunday's most expensive pitcher still has a decent spot against a Miami Marlins' lineup with seven hitters with K-rates over 24.2%.

numberFire's models currently rank Verlander first among his position with 6.2 expected strikeouts and second overall with a 32.9 FanDuel point projection.

Kyle Wright ($10,500)

In an advantageous matchup against a Pittsburgh Pirates' team with a .248 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 25.6% strikeout percentage, Wright stands as Sunday's top overall pitcher with a 34.7 fantasy expectation.

Although it took Atlanta's right-hander a few seasons to figure out how to succeed at the highest level, the 26-year old has accounted for several career-best metrics through 67.2 innings this season including an impressive 3.27 xFIP, a 27.2% K-rate, and a 12.8% swinging strike percentage.

Among Sunday's 20 potential pitchers, Wright currently ranks second with 5.99 expected strikeouts and fourth in value with a 3.31 rating

Ranger Suarez ($7,300)

After the top-tier of pitching options, Suarez is a value consideration in a favorable spot against an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup with a 21.8% strikeout percentage and a vulnerable .295 wOBA.

While his control (9.1% walk rate) can still be an issue, Philadelphia's left-hander has pitched close to his career form (3.78 XFIP) with a 4.01 expected mark through 55.1 innings.

At his third lowest salary point this season, Suarez currently ranks first among pitchers with a 4.4 value rating and third overall with a 32.1 FanDuel point projection.


Kansas City Royals

Baltimore's Dean Kremer will take the mound on Sunday afternoon versus a Royals' team with an undervalued 5.1 implied run total.

Through 76.2 career innings, the 26-year old has overall been subpar throughout his Major League tenure, recording a poor 5.52 xFIP and a low 8.7% swinging strike percentage.

To best attack Kremer's struggles with the long ball (12.3% barrel rate allowed), Kansas City's stacks can start with Salvador Perez (10.4% barrel rate), Hunter Dozier (10.3% barrel percentage), and Bobby Witt Jr. (8.2% barrel rate) to first address his reverse splits (18.0% home-run / fly-ball rate) while MJ Melendez (11.6% barrel percentage, .355 expected wOBA), Whit Merrifield, (.329 expected wOBA), and Andrew Benintendi (.337 expected wOBA) are other ideal candidates worth correlating.

Atlanta Braves

After a ten-run performance on Saturday night, Atlanta's explosive offense has another mouth-watering spot against Jose Quintana.

While the 33-year old has performed well so far this season when examining his 3.92 xFIP, Quintana has remained shaky against right-handed bats (4.13 expected FIP, 18.1% strikeout rate) while also allowing a 10.7% barrel rate in June.

With these weaknesses in mind, the top three of Atlanta's batting order consisting of Ronald Acuna (18.3% barrel rate, .425 expected wOBA), Dansby Swanson (10.6% barrel percentage, .362 expected wOBA), and Austin Riley (.404 expected wOBA, 17.2% barrel rate) are great cornerstones for a stack while William Contreras (16.9% barrel percentage, .396 expected wOBA), Marcell Ozuna (13.4% barrel rate, .355 expected wOBA), and Matt Olson (10.2% barrel rate) all profile well enough to be mixed in combinations.