FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Saturday 5/28/22
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Gerrit Cole ($10,500)
Despite a 4.5% salary decrease, Cole stands as Saturday's most expensive pitcher against a Tampa Bay Rays' lineup with a 18.7% strikeout percentage and a 0.297 weighted on-base average (wOBA) against right-handers since 2021.
New York's ace has been in premier recent form in his last four starts, accounting for a 2.14 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (FIP), an impressive 16.3% swinging strike rate, and a 31.5% K-rate.
The 31-year old currently ranks as numberFire's top hurler with a 41.3 FanDuel point expectation and 7.9 strikeouts.
Sandy Alcantara ($10,400)
In a favorable rematch against an Atlanta Braves' team with a 27.1% K-rate and a 69.5% contact rate, Alcantara currently ranks third among his position with a 32.0 fantasy projection and 5.7 strikeouts.
Although Miami's right-hander is coming off a complete game shutout against this same squad last week, it's worth noting Alcantara has somewhat underperformed his 2.11 Earned Run Average when examining his 3.68 expected ERA mark and 4.10 expected FIP.
Even with some regression concerns and a 2.9% salary jump, the 26-year old is still a strong option in all formats with his 3.08 value rating.
Alex Wood ($7,400)
At his lowest salary point this season, Wood is an intriguing value option versus a Cincinnati Reds team with a 30.2% strikeout percentage and a .301 wOBA against left-handers.
Through 37.1 innings this season despite a 4.82 ERA, San Francisco's veteran has still recorded a 3.19 expected FIP, a 23.2% strikeout percentage, and a 9.7% swinging strike rate.
Among today's 16 pitchers, the 31-year old right-hander currently rates second in value with a 3.75 mark and fourth overall with a 27.8 fantasy expectation.
Sporting an unsightly 6.39 expected FIP and a 14.4% walk percentage, Vladimir Gutierrez will take the mound at home against a Giants' team with a slate-high 5.6 expected run total.
With horrid splits against left-handed bats (6.22 expected FIP, 14.8% K-rate) and a below-average 6.6% swinging strike rate, San Francisco's stacks can start with outfield options in Joc Pederson (20.9% barrel rate, .469 expected wOBA), and Mike Yastrzemski (11.6% barrel rate, .400 expected wOBA ) while Joey Bart (8.3% barrel percentage), Tommy La Stella (.278 expected average), Brandon Crawford (8.4% barrel rate) and Evan Longoria (20.7% barrel rate, .398 expected wOBA) are value choices among the infield.
After a 20-run barrage in the first two games of this series, the Dodgers remain an elite stacking option with a 5.3 implied run total against Merrill Kelly.
Through 49.0 innings while Kelly has displayed some improvement in his metrics, the former KBO star is unlikely to sustain his 3.49 ERA with a career-high 8.7% walk percentage and a 4.13 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating.
With heavy ground-ball tendencies (42.8% career mark), ideal hitters to best counter Kelly's overall profile include Mookie Betts (43.7% fly-ball percentage, .396 expected wOBA), Freddie Freeman (11.8% barrel rate, .436 expected wOBA) and Will Smith (9.7% barrel percentage, 45.7% fly-ball rate) while Justin Turner (41.3% fly-ball percentage, 8.6% barrel rate) and Cody Bellinger (9.3% barrel rate, 50.7% fly-ball percentage) are lower salary options with power.