3 Under-the-Radar MLB FanDuel Plays for Tuesday 9/28/21
When being contrarian in daily fantasy sports, there's a fine line between taking a calculated risk and being reckless. But differentiating your lineups from everyone else's is the name of the game if you plan on taking down one of those highly lucrative DFS tournaments. Whether it's because of bookmaker totals, other options at a given position, or some gem you've found who everyone is overlooking, we can always find potential under-rostered plays if we look hard enough.
Here are three such players to consider branching out for on FanDuel's main slate.
Logan Webb, P, San Francisco Giants ($9,000)
Tonight's pitching slate is loaded, and it could cause Logan Webb to go overlooked.
At the top-tier of pitchers, we have Zack Wheeler, Chris Sale, Brandon Woodruff, and Walker Buehler in action. Those are some fantastic options, and given the success they've shown over a number of years, they are -- some may feel -- safer options than Webb. That doesn't mean Webb isn't a good choice, but he probably won't be chalky.
Webb comes in with a 26.2% strikeout rate and 6.2% walk rate. He is allowing just 0.59 HR/9 with a 61.3% ground-ball rate, 52.7% medium-contact rate, and 2.82 xFIP. Those are elite-level numbers, and Webb should be able to let those shine versus the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks.
This season, Arizona comes in with a 78 wRC+ (29th in the league), .134 ISO (28th), 24.9% strikeout rate (7th-highest), and 34.1% fly-ball rate (26th) versus right-handed pitchers. They are one of the worst lineups in the league, making this an ideal matchup for Webb to post a big FanDuel output.
Giancarlo Stanton, OF, New York Yankees ($3,900)
The New York Yankees are red-hot right now, have a great matchup, and shouldn't be too popular.
Hyun-jin Ryu is coming off the injured list and is expected to start for the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryu is typically known for being a solid pitcher who can limit damage, but he is having one of the worst years of his career. He is giving up 1.24 HR/9, which is the most he's allowed since 2017 (1.56). His barrel rate is at 8.6%, the worst of his entire career. And his strikeout rate is at 20.2%, the lowest it's been since 2016.
He has allowed 22 home runs in 159.2 innings this year -- much worse than the 17 home runs he permitted in 182.2 innings in 2019. He was great that season, but it's simply not the same for him in 2021.
We can turn to Giancarlo Stanton, who has a home run in each of his last three games. Against lefties this year, he owns a .236 ISO, 146 wRC+, 40.4% hard-contact rate, 38.4% fly-ball rate, and 26.3% HR/FB ratio. The power Stanton has been showing lately puts him on home run watch each and every night.
Jared Walsh, 1B, Los Angeles Angels ($2,900)
The Los Angeles Angels have a great matchup tonight and shouldn't be too chalky.
This shouldn't come as a shock -- the Texas Rangers don't have good starting pitchers or a good bullpen. A.J. Alexy is set to start for the Rangers, and he hasn't pitched past four innings in either of his last two starts. If he is going to be forced out of the game early, that will only be a benefit for the Angels' hitters, specifically their lefties.
Versus left-handed hitters this season, the Rangers' bullpen has a 4.94 xFIP (third-worst) and a 19.8% strikeout rate (fifth-lowest). They are also allowing 1.42 HR/9 (fifth-worst) in the split.
That ensures Jared Walsh will be in a good spot throughout the game.
Walsh comes in with a 159 wRC+, .249 ISO, 10.1% walk rate, 39.2% hard-contact rate, and 25.0% HR/FB ratio versus righties this season. Walsh has plenty of power and can certainly get it done versus a weak Rangers bullpen.