4 MLB Prop Bets to Target on 6/7/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball. High odds for a hitter bombing a home run or a pitcher tallying several strikeouts is something worth considering in building your FanDuel lineups. And that's a two-way street.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on those players likely to go yard and over- or under-perform their expected strikeout total.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Gerrit Cole OVER 9.5 Strikeouts (+114)
Gerrit Cole is the best pitcher on this slate and comes in with a very high strikeout prop tonight, but is it worth considering?
Cole comes in with an astonishing 37.4% strikeout rate this season, which is the highest of any pitcher who qualifies, and he has posted double-digit strikeouts six different times this season over his 13 starts. Simply amazing stuff from Cole, who is on the top of the list for Cy Young consideration this season and will likely bolster his case tonight.
He is up against the Baltimore Orioles, who have a 22.4% strikeout rate this season versus right-handed pitchers, which is 18th in the league. That isn't a massive strikeout rate, but the Orioles are severely over-matched tonight and Cole will handle them easily.
The odds on this are super favorable being above even money, allowing you to double up on any bet placed.
Yoan Moncada To Hit a Home Run (+450)
Yoan Moncada has home runs in back-to-back games, but can he make it three in a row?
The odds on Moncada hitting a home run are awesome and present massive upside if he is able to hit one over the fence tonight. That is firmly in the cards due to his matchup against Homer Bailey, who has a 4.34 xFIP against lefty hitters this season, while also allowing 1.53 homers per nine innings, a 46.8% hard-hit rate, and a 35.9% fly-ball rate.
This game has a solid park factor for the hitters tonight and with Moncada coming in boasting a .272 ISO and 41.9% hard-hit rate against right-handed pitchers, he is in a spot to make it three games in a row with a home run.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 Runs (-110)
A 7.5 run total isn't anything to get too excited about if you want to watch the game, but from a betting perspective, we have a line with very little juice and a good chance it happens. This is one of the best pitcher's parks in the league and the Dodgers will have Clayton Kershaw on the mound, which has the Giants coming in with an implied team total set at just 3.12 tonight, which is the second lowest on the slate. They come in with a staggeringly low 66 wRC+ versus left-handed pitchers which is dead last in the league, along with a .116 ISO, which is second worst in the league.
The Giants are one of the worst teams in the league (clearly) and they don't stand a chance against Kershaw tonight, which should ultimately keep the scoring low and help the under hit.
Rhys Hoskins To Hit a Home Run (+210)
Well, specifically, can Rhys Hoskins hit one deep tonight against Tyler Mahle, who is allowing 1.01 homers per nine innings to right-handed hitters this season. That might not be a massive amount, but Hoskins has the numbers to take advantage of it, with a 47.0% hard-hit rate, 49.6% fly-ball rate, and .232 ISO against righties.. The power is always there for him and tonight it should be shown in full, which is why our models have him as the third hitting in terms of home run projections.