4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 4/5/19
This week's main slates haven't been ripe with high implied totals, but as we saw from the high-scoring nights of the Texas Rangers and Atlanta Braves -- two of our top stacks yesterday -- Vegas totals aren't always the end-all, be-all in finding profitable stacks. Tonight's eight-game slate is once again pretty light on runs, but there are still some intriguing spots we can dig into.
Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.
Premium members can use our stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.
Now, let's get to the stacks.
Boston Red Sox
While the Houston Astros have the highest implied total on the board at 4.70, I'm hesitant to go all-in on a stack against Frankie Montas, who flattened the Los Angeles Angels in his 2019 debut, allowing just one run over six innings with six punchouts and zero walks. Normally, we might chalk that up as one lucky start -- except Montas is showing an uptick in velocity and featuring a new splitter this year. No doubt, Montas put up some unsightly numbers in 2018, so you could still consider going here, but be aware he may be a changed pitcher this year.
At first glance, this doesn't look like a particularly appealing matchup -- until you see that Godley barely averaged 89 mph in his first start, an outing he was torched for seven earned runs in 5 1/3 innings. Godley has steadily seen his velocity decline since his breakout 2017 campaign, and after registering a mere 7.8% swinging-strike rate last week, it's fair to wonder how effective he will be moving forward.
Considering how poorly Boston has played to this point, it's easy to forget this is a team with an active roster that rocked a 123 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in 2018, and it's only a matter of time before that team shows up again. All the usual pricey bats in the top half of the order are in play, with J.D. Martinez ($4,900) in particular already smashing everything in sight like it's the middle of July.
It's worth noting the Sox are shaking things up a bit by going back to a lineup more reminiscent of last season, slotting Mitch Moreland ($3,100) out of the three hole and dropping Rafael Devers ($2,900) to sixth. Both are worth considering as cheaper plays, and this still feels like a buy-low opportunity on Devers, who is making a ton of hard contact despite the lack of results, ranking in the 92nd percentile for his rate of balls hit at 95 mph or better.
Brock Holt ($2,000) is also priced at the minimum if you're looking for a second base punt. He produced a solid .341 wOBA and .348 xwOBA against right-handed pitching last year.
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