DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: Quicken Loans National
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for Quicken Loans National.
This Week’s Course
The PGA Tour heads to TPC Potomac at Avenel Farms, a 7,107-yard par 70 just outside Washington, D.C., to host the Quicken Loans National for the second straight year. The course played difficult last year and the winning score was just seven-under par. Stringing together quality shots and staying out of trouble are going to be key this week, so it makes sense to focus on strokes gained: ballstriking, which combines the off-the-tee and approach metrics, and good drives gained, which Fantasy National Golf Club (FNGC) defines as drives where the player either hits the fairway off the tee or the player misses the fairway but still hits the green or fringe in regulation. As with any par 70, par 4 efficiency and bogey avoidance should also be considered.
|Key Stats for the Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac|
|Strokes Gained: Ballstriking|
|Good Drives Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 4s|
Now, let’s get to the picks.
All stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
High Priced Studs
Rickie Fowler (DraftKings Price $11,700 | PaddyPower Win Odds 7:1) - The odds-on favorite and clear-cut class of the field, Fowler looks to build on a closing 65 at the U.S. Open. He finished T3 last year at this event and should dominate in this weak field. Fowler is first in bogeys avoided and strokes gained: par 4s, and sixth in strokes gained: tee to green. No one in the field has scored more DraftKings points over their last 50 rounds than Fowler.
Tiger Woods ($11,000 | 12) - Tiger is finally priced up this week and finds himself at a course that should line up nicely with his current form. He has been an elite ballstriker (15th in his last 50 rounds but 3rd in his last 24) and has excelled when able to club down off the tee, as he should be able to on this shorter course. Woods has been wildly inconsistent with his putter, but as Brandon Gdula pointed out in his primer, a hot putter is not a prerequisite to a high finish at this event.
Francesco Molinari ($10,600 | 18) - The last two events Molinari played on the PGA Tour were the U.S. Open and THE PLAYERS, and Molinari was priced at $7,600 and $8,100, respectively. The big bump and the proximity to the above studs should temper his ownership and make him a strong tournament play. Molinari is first in strokes gained: tee to green, fourth in ballstriking, and fifth in good drives gained.
Beau Hossler ($9,300 | 30) - Hossler has made 10 straight cuts and has 2 second place finishes along the way, including one last week at the Travelers. He is trending in the right direction with his ballstriking, as he ranks 37th in the last 50 rounds but 27th in last 24. Hossler is fourth in bogeys avoided and sixth in strokes gained: putting. If his ballstriking is off, he can scramble for par and make the cut. If his ballstriking clicks, he will convert his birdie opportunities and shoot up the leaderboard.
Joaquin Niemann ($9,000 | 35) - Niemann is 5th in ballstriking and 12th in good drives gained. Like Molinari and Woods, he is prone to putting disasters that derail otherwise solid rounds. Trying to guess which guys are going to sink putts on any given week is a losing proposition, but Niemann is primed to break through and offers significant savings from the higher-priced golfers.
Charles Howell III ($8,900 | 25) - Howell keeps rolling along, even on these tough courses. He has made 10 straight cuts with 6 top-25s along the way. Howell is second in bogeys avoided, third in strokes gained: par 4s and fourth in strokes gained: tee to green. He lost to Kyle Stanley ($10,200 | 18) in a playoff last year, and while Stanley has gotten the winner’s bump in his price on DraftKings, CH3 is once again a top value play.
Byeong Hun An ($8,600 | 30) - An is worth a look once again this week, as he ranks second in strokes gained: ballstriking and sixth in bogeys avoided. He is 18th in strokes gained: par 4s and 21st in good drives gained. He also can’t find consistency with the short stick (noticing a trend?), but bentgrass is his best putting surface.
Gary Woodland ($8,100 | 35) - Woodland appears to be back on track, after four missed cuts leading up to the Memorial, but he managed a 36th place finish at the U.S. Open after his T23 at Muirfield. He is first in strokes gained: ballstriking and ninth in both par 4s and good drives gained. He has the best win odds of any golfer in the low $8k range.
Low Priced Options
Billy Horschel ($7,900 | 40) - In a similarly weak field at the St. Jude Classic a few weeks back, Horschel was priced $9,700. Even at the steep discount this week, he is going to be overshadowed in this range by Andrew Putnam ($7,900 | 50), the 148th ranked player in the world. Horschel is 10th in putting and 38th in ballstriking. Narrowing it to the last 24 rounds, however, those ranks come down to 2nd and 22nd, respectively. As another good putter finding his form, Horschel is a great player to pair with Hossler.
Keith Mitchell ($7,700 | 100) - Mitchell enters the week 14th in strokes gained: ballstriking and 26th in good drives gained. The putting is an issue, but he is a solid 15th in bogeys avoided and has elite birdie-making ability, ranking 2nd in birdies or better gained. TPC Potomac only has two par 5s, but if Mitchell can dominate on those holes and play even-par on the rest of the course he could find himself in the hunt for a top-10 finish.
Adam Hadwin ($7,300 | 66) - Hadwin has seen his form falter over the past six weeks. His 42nd place finish at the Travelers was his best result since May 5, when he finished 16th at the Wells Fargo for his 5th straight top-25. He is second in good drives gained and fourth in strokes gained: par 4s. Even in his downswing, he still managed to make the cut in every event except the U.S. Open.
Corey Connors ($7,100 | 150) - Like Mitchell, Connors is a birdie machine on par 5s, and one who has popped up on the leaderboard early in tournaments only to fall back over the course of the week. Connors is 11th in strokes gained: ballstriking and 19th in good drives gained this season. He finished 8th at Colonial, another short par 70 with bentgrass greens.
J.J Spaun ($7,000 | 125) - Spaun is 8th in ballstriking, 10th in birdies or better gained, 16th tee-to-green, and 18th in good drives gained. He has gained strokes putting only once in the past two months, but when he did he turned in a T3 at the Byron Nelson.
Brandon Harkins ($6,700 | 150) - Harkins frequents this space thanks to his birdie-making ability, and he seems to have found some formula that works with back-to-back top-40 finishes at the Travelers and the St. Jude Classic. A made cut, with some birdies along the way, is well worth the near-minimum price tag thanks to the premium DraftKings’ scoring system puts on birdies.
Robert Garrigus ($6,700 | 150) - Garrigus is 10th in ballstriking and 22nd in birdies or better gained. He has made three cuts in his last seven events and all of them have ended as top-25 finishes. He managed a T29 at this event last year.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.