DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for 2/6/21
There’s not much rest for the Premier League clubs this season, so we have another slate of games on Saturday. Here are the four games, with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Burnley (+260)||+210||Brighton (+120)|
|Newcastle (+200)||+220||Southampton (+140)|
|Fulham (+250)||+250||West Ham (+110)|
|Manchester United (-180)||+310||Everton (+500)|
Forwards to Target
Jarrod Bowen ($7,800): The forward pool is not loaded with great options, so we can look at Bowen here. He still gets a share of corner kicks for West Ham and is 15th in the Premier League in crosses. His per 90 averages of 2.04 shots, 1.10 crosses and 1.38 fouls drawn give him one of the best floors at forward on the slate. West Ham are the second biggest favorites on the slate against a Fulham team that seem destined for relegation. Fulham allow the eighth-most crosses per game in the league, according to WhoScored.com. Bowen isn't just a floor player -- he has five goals and three assists this season. With forward not being so strong, the opportunity cost for rostering someone like him is not too high. He's a good forward option on this slate.
Ademola Lookman ($7,600): Lookman has been Fulham's best attacking player of late. He's had at least eight DraftKings points in nine of his last ten games. Over the last two games, he's taken every set piece for Fulham. This gives him one of the best floors for players at forward. While he plays for an underdog, the near-monopoly of set pieces that he has makes Lookman at least comparable to Bowen. There's also the fact the West Ham are not a ball-dominant team, with a possession rate of just 44.6%. He's viable for cash game lineups on this slate.
Jóhann Berg Gudmundsson ($3,600) With forward being a weak position, punting it off with Gudmundsson is a way you can go. His game logs are tough to look at if you want to talk yourself into rostering him, but keep in mind those games were against some of the best teams in the league. Gudmundsson finished fifth in the league in crosses in 2017-18, so he does have the pedigree of someone we like to roster. There are players at midfield and defender that we want to fit in, so JBG could allow us to do that with this low salary.
Midfielders to Target
Bruno Fernandes ($10,800): Hopefully you stuck with Bruno in Manchester United's last match, as he went off for 43.4 DraftKings points. He stuffed the stat sheet, with a goal, two assists, six shots, five shot assists, and seven crosses. This was the ceiling game we were hoping for, as we were mostly getting floor games from him recently. This big game brought him up to a tie for second in goals with 12 and fourth in assists with nine. With Manchester United being the biggest favorites on the slate, we'll want to look to him again. He has anytime goalscoring odds of +110, which is comparable with most of the forwards on this slate. With the considerably higher floor that he has over those forwards, it makes him an easy play in all lineup constructions, as he has the highest floor/ceiling combination of anyone on the slate.
Ryan Fraser ($7,700): Fraser took a little while to get going for Newcastle, but boy did he get going in the last game. He had 20 crosses and 7 shot assists, good for 26.1 DraftKings points without a goal or an assist. It's the kind of game we dream about on DraftKings for a player like Fraser, as most of the time we are chasing crosses to put into our lineup. That's not to say he's not capable of scoring or assisting, as Fraser put up 7 goals and 13 assists in 2018-19 for Bournemouth. Now, he'll be facing a Southampton team that could be low on confidence after a 9-0 drubbing against Manchester United. Newcastle have been playing better of late, so they should be competitive in this game, even as underdogs. If their attack goes through Fraser like it did in the last match, he'll be a great play at $7,700.
Jesse Lingard ($4,900): Lingard had a huge debut for West Ham, with two goals and six shots. He has seen his salary rise to $4,900, but he's still a decent value for the position he played in and playing for a favored team. His anytime goalscoring odds are +230, which is comparable to many forwards who have much higher salaries on this slate. So that makes Lingard a decent value at midfield, even if we can't expect two goals in every game from him.
Defenders to Target
Luke Shaw ($6,700): 9-0 results produce funny stat lines, both in real life and in fantasy. Shaw had 21.5 DraftKings points while only playing the first half of that game, which made him ineligible for the clean sheet bonus. This was his best fantasy game of the season. With Manchester United camped in the attacking half, there are lots of opportunities for Shaw to cross. He also gets a share of corner kicks, splitting them with Fernandes. It may feel uncomfortable to spend all the way up for Shaw given that you could get him for much less even a few months ago, but his performances have warranted the salary hike. He's the preferred option over Lucas Digne, who is just $100 below Shaw, because Manchester United should see more of the ball in this game, and they are favored over Everton.
Ryan Bertrand ($4,500): Bertrand couldn't do much in Tuesday's game against Manchester United when Southampton played down a man for essentially the entire game, but he could bounce back in this match. He's second on Southampton in crosses and is really the only defender around this salary range that we can count on for some crosses. Against a Newcastle team that is the third-worst possession team and allows the fourth-most crosses, Bertrand should have plenty of chances to get forward and cross.
Goalkeepers to Target
Robert Sánchez ($5,000): Sánchez has become the number one keeper for Brighton and played decently well. He's only conceded 10 goals in his 11 games and has kept a clean sheet in his last four matches. The last two games, he's gotten the clean sheet and the win over Liverpool and Tottenham, and now he faces the lowest-scoring team in the league in Burnley. Brighton have been a solid defensive team under manager Graham Potter over the last two seasons, and they should be able to stifle a fairly toothless Burnley attack. This makes Sánchez a great play at keeper.
Nick Pope ($4,200): If you want to save salary, you could also go to the other keeper in the game that projects to be the lowest scoring. Pope is unlikely to get blown up given the style of these two teams, and he has been able to keep a clean sheet in nearly a third of his league games this season. Sánchez would be my favorite keeper, but I'm okay with Pope if you really need the $800 in salary savings.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.