3 Daily Fantasy Football Players to Avoid in Week 10
We have a lot of pieces on numberFire geared toward helping you figure out which players you should roster in your DFS contests on FanDuel, but an important aspect of the DFS process is figuring out who you shouldn't play.
Narrowing down your list of potential plays by avoiding those who are destined to underwhelm can go a long way toward helping you create winning lineups.
Inevitably, some of the players I feature in this article will blow up and pop for a big game, but that comes with the territory of doing a piece like this one -- unless I'm going to tell you to avoid playing dudes who aren't on anyone's radar. I'm trying to avoid that. I want this piece to be useful.
Here are some players I'm fading this week.
Daniel Jones, QB, Giants ($7,500)
Early draft percentage projections around the industry have Daniel Jones being fairly popular this week. I'll pass.
But the Giants' implied total is still just 23.00, which is the seventh-highest of the slate, so it's not like they're expected to light up the scoreboard.
And what can we realistically expect from Jones? He has produced one game of 22.00-plus FanDuel points, and it was a 28.78-point outburst. To get there, he needed 107 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. In fact, he's topped 17.02 FanDuel points only twice this season -- said game and another one in which he recorded two rushing tuddies. In short, he'll likely need a really big rushing day to truly hit in DFS.
Plus, this matchup against Houston isn't a cakewalk for the Giants' passing game. The Texans have been a run-funnel D, giving up the fifth-fewest FanDuel points per game to signal-callers (13.1).
Jones makes more sense as a season-long streamer than a DFS play. I'd much rather get exposure to the Giants through Saquon Barkley. If Jones was totally slipping through the cracks, I could maybe talk myself into him as a savvy pivot off Barkley, but with Jones looking like he'll be a fairly popular quarterback play, I'm staying away.
Robert Tonyan, TE, Packers ($5,000)
For the second straight week, it looks like Robert Tonyan will be a go-to salary-saver at tight end. While I'm normally trying to save coin at tight end, I can't talk myself into Tonyan.
A week ago in what looked like a dream date with the Detroit Lions, the Green Bay Packers' offense hit rock bottom, scoring nine points against what we have as the league's worst D. The Packers have a much tougher matchup this week against the Dallas Cowboys. We rate Dallas as the number-one defense, and Green Bay's 19.0-point implied total is the slate's fourth-lowest. Yuck.
I don't want to invest in any piece of this offense, and Tonyan hasn't been doing much anyway. He's failed to go for more than 35 receiving yards in any of his previous three games, and he's posted more than 37 receiving yards only once this campaign. A Dallas defense that permits the 11th-fewest FanDuel points per game to tight ends (7.2) isn't going to help matters.
Davante Adams, WR, Raiders ($8,500)
This one could blow up in my face. I mean, it's Davante Adams.
It's not that I think Adams will do poorly -- it's that I like some other high-end wideouts more than I do him. We're pretty spoiled at receiver this week with Adams, Cooper Kupp ($9,000), Tyreek Hill ($9,000), Justin Jefferson ($8,500) and Stefon Diggs ($9,100) on the slate. I prefer all of Kupp, Hill, Jefferson and Diggs to Adams for this slate, though.
Last week, Adams nuked the Jacksonville Jaguars in a squeaky-wheel spot after a very quiet game in Week 8. He could go off against the Indianapolis Colts Sunday in a game in which the Las Vegas Raiders are 5.5-point home favorites. Heck, Adams can break any slate in any matchup. We know this.
With that said, the Colts' defense isn't that bad. We have them ranked 14th overall, and they've been stingy against receivers, permitting the second-fewest FanDuel points per game to the position (18.5).
Our model projects Adams for 14.7 FanDuel points and slots him as the worst point-per-dollar option among the five highest-salaried wideouts (the five listed above). He's not a priority for me this week.