What Does Jahan Dotson Bring to the Commanders?

Dotson joins a talented skill-position group in Washington. Will he be able to carve out a big enough role in 2022 to be a fantasy football contributor?

The Washington Commanders tried to upgrade their receiver room last offseason by signing Curtis Samuel, and they took another stab at it this year by selecting Jahan Dotson with the 16th pick in the first round of the draft.

At just 5-foot-11, 181 pounds, Dotson is a smaller wideout who has just a 50th-percentile breakout age (20.5), according to PlayerProfiler. On the positive, he rates in the 95th percentile in final-season target share (32.5%) and in the 90th percentile in college dominator rating (44.3%).

What is Washington getting in Dotson?

Player Comparisons

numberFire's Brandon Gdula breaks down Dotson's profile and gives a top comparison.

Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Dotson’s. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.

Rank Jahan Dotson Profile Comparisons Similarity
1 Diontae Johnson 94.0%
2 Donnie Avery 92.2%
3 Sterling Shepard 90.3%
4 John Ross 90.0%
5 Marquise Brown 89.9%
6 Ryan Broyles 89.1%
7 Garrett Wilson 89.1%
8 Brandin Cooks 88.5%
9 Keke Coutee 87.8%
10 Santonio Holmes 87.6%

Gdula's Take: Dotson is small but checks all the other boxes. He's got high marks in key production metrics and has 4.43 speed, which is still fast but not dominant, given the smaller frame. He could get targets at all levels of the field in the NFL. WR2 fantasy seasons seem likely from Dotson.

Jahan Dotson's 2022 Fantasy Football Projection

Gdula’s initial projections for Dotson include 53 catches, 619 yards and 3.1 scores, making him the PPR WR65 for the season.

We will have to see how much upside the Washington offense has with Carson Wentz. Between Terry McLaurin, Dotson, Samuel, Antonio Gibson and Logan Thomas, there are a lot of mouths to feed in the nation's capital this coming fall.

On FanDuel Sportsbook, the Commanders are listed at +7000 to win the Super Bowl and +450 to take the NFC East, and they have a win total projection of 7.5 on FOX Bet.