What Does Jahan Dotson Bring to the Commanders?
The Washington Commanders tried to upgrade their receiver room last offseason by signing Curtis Samuel, and they took another stab at it this year by selecting Jahan Dotson with the 16th pick in the first round of the draft.
At just 5-foot-11, 181 pounds, Dotson is a smaller wideout who has just a 50th-percentile breakout age (20.5), according to PlayerProfiler. On the positive, he rates in the 95th percentile in final-season target share (32.5%) and in the 90th percentile in college dominator rating (44.3%).
What is Washington getting in Dotson?
Player Comparisons
numberFire's Brandon Gdula breaks down Dotson's profile and gives a top comparison.
"Diontae Johnson is a pretty close comparable for Jahan Dotson."@gdula13 breaks down the profile of the new Commanders WR pic.twitter.com/bzM1rXwdgg
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) April 29, 2022
Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Dotson’s. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.
| Rank | Jahan Dotson Profile Comparisons | Similarity |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diontae Johnson | 94.0% |
| 2 | Donnie Avery | 92.2% |
| 3 | Sterling Shepard | 90.3% |
| 4 | John Ross | 90.0% |
| 5 | Marquise Brown | 89.9% |
| 6 | Ryan Broyles | 89.1% |
| 7 | Garrett Wilson | 89.1% |
| 8 | Brandin Cooks | 88.5% |
| 9 | Keke Coutee | 87.8% |
| 10 | Santonio Holmes | 87.6% |
Gdula's Take: Dotson is small but checks all the other boxes. He's got high marks in key production metrics and has 4.43 speed, which is still fast but not dominant, given the smaller frame. He could get targets at all levels of the field in the NFL. WR2 fantasy seasons seem likely from Dotson.
Jahan Dotson's 2022 Fantasy Football Projection
Gdula’s initial projections for Dotson include 53 catches, 619 yards and 3.1 scores, making him the PPR WR65 for the season.
We will have to see how much upside the Washington offense has with Carson Wentz. Between Terry McLaurin, Dotson, Samuel, Antonio Gibson and Logan Thomas, there are a lot of mouths to feed in the nation's capital this coming fall.
On FanDuel Sportsbook, the Commanders are listed at +7000 to win the Super Bowl and +450 to take the NFC East, and they have a win total projection of 7.5 on FOX Bet.
