Treylon Burks Can Be a Home-Run Pick for the Titans
After trading away their franchise receiver in a blockbuster deal, the Tennessee Titans are hoping they just took another one.
Tennessee dealt A.J. Brown to the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday night and then drafted Treylon Burks 18th overall with one of the picks they netted from the Brown trade.
At 6-foot-2 and 224 pounds, Burks definitely fits the prototype in terms of size, and his statistical profile hits the mark, as well. According to PlayerProfiler, Burks rates in at least the 90th percentile in both college target share (31.3%) and college dominator rating (45.9%). He's also in the 76th percentile in yards per catch (16.8) and the 80th percentile for speed score. He went for 1,104 yards and 11 scores in his final campaign with Arkansas.
Burks checks a lot of boxes.
Player Comparisons
numberFire's Brandon Gdula breaks down Burks' profile and gives a top comparison.
"His profile is really, really close to Dez Bryant's."@gdula13 admits Treylon Burks could have a bit of a transition period, but believes he has the traits to have a strong NFL career with the Titans pic.twitter.com/RPc0Rp4cd1
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) April 29, 2022
Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Burks’. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.
| Rank | Treylon Burks Profile Comparisons | Similarity |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dez Bryant | 92.2% |
| 2 | Demaryius Thomas | 90.2% |
| 3 | Jordy Nelson | 89.4% |
| 4 | Robert Meachem | 88.7% |
| 5 | Rashod Bateman | 88.2% |
| 6 | Julio Jones | 88.0% |
| 7 | Dwayne Bowe | 87.9% |
| 8 | AJ Brown | 87.9% |
| 9 | Laviska Shenault Jr. | 87.5% |
| 10 | Alshon Jeffery | 87.2% |
Gdula's Take: Look at those comps. What a list. Burks, despite a big frame (6'2", 225), primarily played out of the slot at Arkansas. That dropped down his average depth of target a lot (to 9.9 yards), yet he still had plenty of downfield work, too. It's a great profile.
Treylon Burks' 2022 Fantasy Football Projection
Both of the Titans' top two wideouts -- Robert Woods and Burks -- will be players who weren't on the team in 2021, making this situation difficult to project. Gdula’s initial projections for Burks include 75 catches, 969 yards and 6.0 touchdowns, making him the PPR WR29 for the season.
With Brown out of the picture, there are a ton of targets up for grabs, and Burks should walk into good volume right away. He has the talent to turn said volume into big numbers
On FanDuel Sportsbook, the Titans are listed at +3000 to win the Super Bowl and +145 to take the AFC South, and they have a win total projection of 9.5 at FOX Bet.
