Fantasy Football: Will Garrett Wilson Be a High-End Producer Immediately With the Jets?
The New York Jets were one of the more logical landing spots for a receiver, and they ended up taking Garrett Wilson 10th overall. Wilson was a -140 favorite to be the first wideout off the board, per FanDuel Sportsbook, but he was the second receiver chosen, going two picks after Drake London.
Wilson's production jumped each year at Ohio State, culminating with a 70-catch, 1,058-yard junior season in 2021 in which he ripped off 12 touchdowns. He accumulated a solid 26.3% target share despite the Buckeyes being ridiculously loaded at wideout, and that mark ranks in the 77th percentile, per PlayerProfiler. He then blazed a 4.38 40-yard dash at the combine.
What will Wilson bring to the table for the Jets?
Player Comparisons
numberFire's Brandon Gdula breaks down Wilson's profile and gives a top comparison.
"The main comparison for me is Jerry Jeudy."@gdula13 sees a bright future for the new Jets WR Garrett Wilson #NFLDraft | #FanDuelNY pic.twitter.com/aSPTcbFEoH
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) April 29, 2022
Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Wilson's. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.
| Rank | Garrett Wilson Profile Comparisons | Similarity |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerry Jeudy | 94.8% |
| 2 | Will Fuller | 93.5% |
| 3 | Chris Olave | 90.0% |
| 4 | Donnie Avery | 89.1% |
| 5 | Jahan Dotson | 88.9% |
| 6 | Odell Beckham Jr | 88.8% |
| 7 | Diontae Johnson | 88.5% |
| 8 | Corey Coleman | 87.8% |
| 9 | Harry Douglas | 87.7% |
| 10 | Vincent Brown | 87.6% |
Gdula's Take: The highlights for Wilson are dynamic, and that has played part in him being a high draft pick. We're getting good speed and efficiency from him. There should be a high floor here, but a career as a fantasy football WR2 seems more likely than being a perennial WR1.
Garrett Wilson's 2022 Fantasy Football Projection
Gdula’s initial projections for Wilson include 57 grabs, 718 receiving yards and 3.1 touchdowns, making him the PPR WR59 for the season.
Zach Wilson has to be a happy guy. The Jets added two receivers last offseason, signing Corey Davis and drafting Elijah Moore. Now they've added Garrett Wilson, giving their young quarterback another weapon.
On FanDuel Sportsbook, the Jets are listed at +15000 to win the Super Bowl -- the third-worst odds -- and +2000 to take the AFC East. They have a win total projection of 5.5 on FOX Bet.
