7 Daily Fantasy Tournament Plays for Week 10
With lots of games on the Week 10 slate promising to be high-scoring, it's important to identify not only the players who will score big but also those who will have low ownership numbers in big tournaments.
Here are my tournament plays for the week.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints - Brees has a fairly high price tag of $8,200 on DraftKings this week (3rd highest among quarterbacks), but I will happily be paying the price for him. The Saints' matchup with the 49ers has the second highest over/under of the week at 49, and New Orleans is projected to put up the 4th-highest total in the league at 26.75. Averaging over 40 attempts per game thus far, Brees should see no shortage of volume, and playing at home makes him that much more appealing.
Bobby Rainey, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - With Doug Martin missing practice all week, it looks like Rainey will get the start in the Tampa backfield for their Week 10 matchup against the Falcons. Opposing running backs have absolutely feasted against Atlanta this year - they rank 29th in Adjusted Defensive Rushing Net Expected Points (NEP) per play and have allowed the most fantasy points per game to running backs by a fairly large margin. Rainey's red zone usage also gives him promising upside, especially when combined with such a good matchup. He has seen 15 carries and 3 targets on the Bucs' 59 red zone snaps this year, seeing the ball come his way on 30.5% of the team's red zone snaps.
Ronnie Hillman, Denver Broncos - While Montee Ball may be returning to the lineup this weekend, Hillman will, in all likelihood, remain the starter, though his ownership percentage in GPPs may fall as a result of Ball's presence. Denver is an 11-point favorite against Oakland, the highest point spread in the league this week. With a game that promises to be so one-sided, the Broncos run game will likely get a lot of work, especially in the second half. The Raiders have also given up the third most fantasy points to opposing backs this year.
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers - I am going to be owning pieces of the Packers offense everywhere possible this week. Vegas oddsmakers have the Pack projected to score a huge 30.5 points this week, and the over/under is set at an equally impressive 53.5, with this many points to go around in a game there are going to be some big fantasy performances. In GPPs, Adams will be the guy I'm going after. Adams' DraftKings price tag is very low at $3,800, and with 18 targets over his last 3 games, he will likely see enough usage to take advantage of what should be a very high-scoring game.
Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons - While White has put up a few duds this year, he has seen a ton of usage in recent weeks, and going up against Tampa he should have no trouble turning those opportunities into big fantasy points. Over the last 3 games, Roddy leads the Falcons in targets, averaging 9 per game which is good for 25.5% of all Atlanta targets in that stretch. Tampa Bay's defense ranks 32nd in the league in terms of Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play and has given up the most fantasy points to opposing wideouts this season.
Larry Donnell, New York Giants - Donnell is up against the Seahawks this week, who are one of only two teams in the league to be giving up more than 1.0 touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends. While Donnell's red zone usage hasn't been as high in recent weeks as it was early in the season, he has shown the potential to score multiple touchdowns in a game, and the with the Seahawks being so generous in that department he's got a solid chance at putting up one if not two.
Carolina Panthers - The Eagles already sit at the top of the league in giveaways with 21. Combining this with Mark Sanchez at the helm, turnovers should be fairly easy to come by for the Panthers, who are fifth in takeaways. The Eagles are still projected to score a ton of points this week, but with what should be a high number of turnovers, Carolina should still put up decent numbers and have a shot at scoring a defensive touchdown, which is critical in tournaments.